FNUS74 KLIX 122104 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 404 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1600 CDT...BROAD 1020MB HIGH NOW CNTRD OVER THE NERN GLFMEX WITH LOWER PRESSURE(1013MB) NOTED OVER THE LOWER TX COAST. THIS IS LEADING TO A 7MB PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE CNTRL AND WRN GULF. SKIES WERE CLEAR TO MOSTLY CLEAR OVER THE GULF WITH WIDELY SCT TSRA DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHSHORE OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. SFC PRES OVER THE SPILL SITE WAS 1019MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1600 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/...MISSING HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/...101F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/...105F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/...103F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/...103F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...MISSING .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM CDT MONDAY FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A BATON ROUGE TO SLIDELL TO BILOXI LINE... * AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 90S IN CONJUNCTION WITH HIGH HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDEX READINGS AROUND 105 DEGREES EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY ACROSS MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. WARMER URBAN AREAS MAY SEE THE HEAT INDEX RISE TO NEAR 110 DEGREES. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 20Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 5KT 250FT... SE 7KT 500FT... SE 9KT 1KFT... SE 11KT 2KFT.. SE 10KT 3KFT... SE 8KT 4KFT...SSE 7KT 5KFT...SSE 7KT MAX WIND...056/32KT 46.2KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3200FT...INVERSION 3200FT TO 5300FT... PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 5300FT DRY THROUGHOUT REST OF COLUMN. P.W. 1.58". LI -6. SBCAPE 1991 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 145/7KT. 12/00Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SAT 06/12/10 SFC... NW 3KT 250FT... NW 3KT 500FT... NW 4KT 1KFT... N 5KT 2KFT... N 8KT 3KFT... NE 9KT 4KFT... NE 4KT 5KFT... SE 5KT MAX WIND...055/39KT 40.8KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1K FT...PSEUDO LAPSE 1KFT TO 14KFT. MOIST LAPSE ABV 14K FT. P.W. 1.85 IN. LI -7. SBCAPE 2700 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 090/8KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 111351Z AUTO 16008KT 10SM FEW065 30/25 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP179 T03000250 TSNO METAR KGAO 122044Z AUTO 13010G14KT SCT031 33/25 A3009 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT N PWINO METAR KHSA 122051Z 09004KT 10SM SCT042 33/22 A3007 METAR KIPN 121835Z AUTO 10011KT 9SM CLR 29/25 A3013 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 051315Z AUTO 18013KT 4SM HZ FEW015 SCT022 29/27 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 122055Z AUTO 15009KT 10SM 30/26 A3008 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 122055Z AUTO 14008KT 10SM FEW025 30/25 A3010 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 122055Z AUTO VRB04KT 9SM FEW022 32/25 A3008 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW/SCT025...LCL BKN035 B/T 18-22Z MARINE AREAS...VFR FEW/SCT025. KHUM 121729Z 1218/1318 16008KT P6SM SCT030 FM130300 VRB03KT P6SM SCT020 FM131400 13005KT P6SM SCT030 KHSA 121729Z 1218/1318 17008KT P6SM SCT040 FM130300 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM131400 17006KT P6SM SCT030 AMD NOT SKED AFT 130200= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR FEW/SCT025. LGT & VRB WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT025. LGT & VRB WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT030. LGT & VRB AM...SE 5KTS PM. .RADAR...AT 1600 CDT...NO RADAR ECHOES OVER OPS AREA BUT WIDELY SCT TSRA HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE SOUTHSHORE AND WEST TWRDS BATON ROUGE. THE CLOSEST STORM IS 120NM TO THE NW OF THE SPILL SITE. ELSEWHERE THINGS REMAIN VERY QUIET. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.78 FT AT 1531 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE -0.08 FT AT 1900 CDT. WYCM6 1.74 FT AT 1527 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE -0.24 FT AT 0001 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 91.8F .REST OF TODAY... TIME (CDT) 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........45 45 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............86 85 RH..............68 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 3.1 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E TRANSP WIND SPD.1 1 TRANS SPD (M/S).0 0 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 SEAS............2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........45 30 30 30 20 20 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............84 84 84 84 83 81 RH..............70 72 77 77 80 86 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 94 93 93 91 87 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 S 5 S 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 2900 2700 2700 2500 2300 MIX HGT (M).....940 880 820 820 760 700 TRANSPORT WIND..E 1 S 2 S 5 S 5 SW 6 W 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 0 S 1 S 2 S 2 SW 3 W 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC SM .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........20 35 35 35 45 45 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............80 82 84 85 86 86 RH..............89 86 82 77 72 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..86 90 95 96 96 95 20 FT WIND......NW 5 N 5 N 6 NE 6 NE 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2100 2700 2700 3200 3000 MIX HGT (M).....700 640 820 820 980 910 TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 N 9 N 10 N 10 N 9 N 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 3 N 4 N 4 N 4 N 4 N 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM LC LC LC LC SM $$ FORECASTER...BANNAN REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORNE TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100612.DEEPW.08/LIX