FNUS75 KGJT 132305
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PEELED PINE...USDI BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
505 PM MDT SUN JUN 13 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1617 MDT ON JUNE 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO LINGER OVER WESTERN
COLORADO THROUGH MONDAY EVEN THOUGH ITS MAIN CIRCULATION CENTER WILL
LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS WYOMING AND INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS STATES
TONIGHT. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
POSSIBLE INTO EARLY MONDAY AS THE TROUGH AXIS APPROACHES AND THEN
SWINGS ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS. IF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS DO
DEVELOP THEY COULD PRODUCE VARIABLE AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.
OTHERWISE THE FLOW WILL BECOME TERRAIN DRIVEN BY SUNSET...THEN
NORTHWEST ON MONDAY.

.LATE THIS AFTERNOON (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY  CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH A FEW STRONGER
                    GUSTS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. BECOMING FAIR AS SUNSET APPROACHES.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL UNTIL 1830...THEN LOWERING TO
                    4000 BY SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-60%). AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
                    THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLY 3-6 MPH.  GUSTY AND VARIABLE
                    WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000 KNOT-FT)...BETTER MIXING NEAR STORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FEET BY MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). PERIODS OF INCREASED CLOUD
                    COVER...MAINLY EARLY IN THE DAY. AN ISOLATED SHOWER
                    OR THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE. BECOMING NORTHWEST 3-6 MPH
                    AFTER 1230.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...BRAD PIETRUSZKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100613.PEELE.02/GJT