FNUS72 KMHX 131243
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CZM BURN...CHERRY POINT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
843 AM EDT SUN JUN 13 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON JUNE 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL STALL JUST INLAND FROM THE COAST
THROUGH MONDAY AS BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OFFSHORE. THE
TROUGH PUSHES OFFSHORE AND WEAKENS MONDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH FROM THE NORTH
ON TUESDAY AND STALLS SOUTH OF THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MEANWHILE BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT BEFORE
PUSHING OFFSHORE ON WEDNESDAY.

REMNANT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE WEAKENING THIS MORNING SO WE
ARE NOT EXPECTING ADDITIONAL STORMS TO FIRE UNTIL LATE TODAY (AFTER
4 PM) ALONG A STALLED BOUNDARY ALONG THE COAST. THE THREAT FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE EVENING ALONG
THE COAST AS THE BOUNDARY REMAINS STALLED ACROSS THE AREA. MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES THIS MORNING WILL BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY BY AFTERNOON.
AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL WARM TO AROUND 90 DEGREES. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT
OF THE WSW 10-15 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY AFTER 4 PM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............69     64     61     61
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP................83     88     90     89
                    MIN HUMIDITY........72     62     50     55
20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 10  W 10   W 10   SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............62     67     65     63     62     58
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE
TEMP................87     83     80     78     76     75
                    MIN HUMIDITY........65     77     85     88     94     97
20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 9   SW 8   SW 9   SW 9   SW 9   W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     10     10

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............54     50     45     37     31     46
WEATHER COV.........                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP................74     78     84     89     92     91
                    MIN HUMIDITY........100    88     72     57     52     56
20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 7    W 8    W 8    W 9    SW 9   SW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....       10     10     10     13     13

$$
FORECASTER...ELARDO
REQUESTED BY...JOHN MANGUS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100613.CZMBU.01/MHX