FNUS74 KLIX 141334 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 834 AM CDT MON JUN 14 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 0800 CDT...FLAT 1017/1018MB RIDGE ACROSS MUCH OF THE GLFMEX(CNTRD OVER 28.1N/89.6W). LOOSE 4MB GRADIENT WRN GLFMEX. UPR LVL LOW SHOWN VIVIDLY IN WV LOOP OVR OPS AREA WITH LTL WX ASSOCD NR CENTER. RING OF CONVECTION ON OUTER FRINGES OF CIRCULATION WITH SCT TSTMS ACROSS S-CNTRL GLFMEX AND THRU FL STRAITS. SFC PRES AT SPILL SITE WAS 1016MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0800 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/...MISSING HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 96F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 99F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 92F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/...103F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...MISSING GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 97F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... A STAGNANT AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL ALLOW AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S. THESE HOT TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH HIGH HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL YIELD IN HEAT INDEX READINGS FROM 104 TO 108 DEGREE RANGE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AS WELL AS COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. WARMER URBAN AREAS MAY SEE THE HEAT INDEX RISE TO NEAR 110 DEGREES. THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT NORTH TONIGHT AND ALLOW DEEP MOISTURE TO MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTH. AN INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES AND SLIGHTLY LOWERED HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL PROVIDE A LITTLE RELIEF FROM THE HEAT TUESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND 100 DEGREES WILL BE COMMON EACH DAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TUESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES ARE SUGGESTED AT HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND 100 DEGREES. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 12Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... W 7KT 250FT...WNW 7KT 500FT...WNW 7KT 1KFT... W 6KT 2KFT...LT & VRB 3KFT... E 9KT 4KFT... E 15KT 5KFT... E 18KT MAX WIND...095/20KT 27.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2600FT...MOIST TO 6500FT... MODERATELY MOIST LAPSE ABV. DRY THROUGHOUGH MOST OF THE COLUMN. P.W. 1.55 IN. LI -7. SBCAPE 2652 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 115/09KT. 14/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z TUE 06/15/10 SFC... SE 4KT 250FT... SE 4KT 500FT... SE 4KT 1KFT... SE 4KT 2KFT... SE 5KT 3KFT... SE 4KT 4KFT... SE 4KT 5KFT... E 2KT MAX WIND...225/33KT 36.1KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3000FT...SATURATED PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 1C DEP AT 920MB/2900FT...SATURATED ABV. P.W. 2.36 IN. LI -3. SBCAPE 661 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 201/04KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 111351Z AUTO 16008KT 10SM FEW065 30/25 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP179 T03000250 TSNO METAR KGAO 141305Z AUTO 33003KT 10SM CLR 30/26 A3002 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 141251Z 32003KT 7SM CLR 27/26 A3002 METAR KIPN 121835Z AUTO 10011KT 9SM CLR 29/25 A3013 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 141315Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM FEW019 30/24 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 141315Z AUTO 20004KT 10SM FEW017 29/25 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 141315Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT005 30/25 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 141315Z AUTO 20003KT 10SM CLR 32/25 A3002 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW025. NO SIG WX. AFT 09Z...LCL 4-5SM BR TIL 14Z. LCL BKN025 VCTS 20/23Z. MARINE AREAS...VFR FEW025. NO SIG WX. KHUM 141120Z 1412/1512 00000KT P6SM SCT015 SCT025 TEMPO 1412/1416 5SM BR BKN025 FM141700 16006KT P6SM SCT040 TEMPO 1419/1421 BKN040 KHSA 141120Z 1412/1512 00000KT 5SM BR SCT020 TEMPO 1412/1416 P6SM NSW BKN020 FM141600 00000KT P6SM SCT015 FM141800 23006KT P6SM SCT040= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT-BKN030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA ALONG THE COAST. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN025. ISOLD SHRA. LGT S WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...MVFR SCT-BKN025. ISOLD SHRA. LGT S WND. .RADAR...AT 0800 CDT...NO ECHOES OR LGTNG DETECTED WITHIN 150NM. CLOSEST TSRA WAS JUST OUTSIDE OF 175NM SSE AND THIS SHOULD REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.10 FT AT 0738 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.15 FT AT 0958 CDT. WYCM6 1.51 FT AT 0744 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.88 FT AT 1300 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88.0 F. .REST OF TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........25 25 25 25 40 40 40 40 40 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............84 84 84 87 87 87 87 87 87 87 RH..............74 82 82 77 70 70 70 70 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 92 93 98 98 98 98 98 98 96 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N NE SE S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 4 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N N N N E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 TRANS SPD (M/S).2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC SM SM SM SM SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........40 35 35 35 30 30 WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TEMP............86 86 85 84 84 84 RH..............70 70 75 77 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 95 94 93 93 93 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 S 6 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 3000 2800 2800 2700 2600 MIX HGT (M).....910 910 850 850 820 790 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 S 6 S 9 S 9 S 12 S 10 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 3 S 3 S 4 S 4 S 5 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM LC LC LC LC LC .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 35 35 35 50 50 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 81 86 86 86 RH..............74 74 82 70 70 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 92 87 95 95 94 20 FT WIND......S 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 S 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 2800 3100 3100 3300 3300 MIX HGT (M).....790 850 940 940 1010 1010 TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 8 S 9 S 9 SW 10 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 SW 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...BANNAN REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100614.DEEPW.04/LIX