FNUS74 KLIX 141607 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1107 AM CDT MON JUN 14 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1100 CDT...FLAT 1017/1018MB RIDGE ACROSS MUCH OF THE GLFMEX(CNTRD AT 28.0N/89.4W). LOOSE 4MB GRADIENT WRN GLFMEX. UPR LVL LOW SEEN IN WV OVR OPS AREA MOVING SLOWLY TO THE WEST WITH LTL WX ASSOCD NR CENTER. ISLTD CONVECTION ON SRN FRINGES OF CIRCULATION CONTINUES ACROSS CNTRL GLFMEX. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER NORTH OF BAY OF CAMPECHE WILL MOVE TO THE NNW. SFC PRES AT SPILL SITE WAS 1017MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1100 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/...MISSING HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 98F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 97F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/...102F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/...103F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...MISSING GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/...103F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... A STAGNANT AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL ALLOW AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S. THESE HOT TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH HIGH HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL YIELD IN HEAT INDEX READINGS FROM 104 TO 108 DEGREE RANGE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AS WELL AS COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. WARMER URBAN AREAS MAY SEE THE HEAT INDEX RISE TO NEAR 110 DEGREES. THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT NORTH TONIGHT AND ALLOW DEEP MOISTURE TO MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTH. AN INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES AND SLIGHTLY LOWERED HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL PROVIDE A LITTLE RELIEF FROM THE HEAT TUESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND 100 DEGREES WILL BE COMMON EACH DAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TUESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES ARE SUGGESTED AT HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND 100 DEGREES. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 14Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...LT & VRB 250FT... N 4KT 500FT... N 5KT 1KFT... N 7KT 2KFT... N 9KT 3KFT... E 6KT 4KFT... E 13KT 5KFT... E 19KT MAX WIND...095/20KT 27.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 4100FT...INVERSION TO 5900FT. MODERATELY MOIST LAPSE ABV. MOIST LAYER FROM 2600-4200FT... DRY THROUGHOUT REST OF COLUMN. P.W. 1.68 IN. LI -8. SBCAPE 3318 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 113/11KT. 14/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z TUE 06/15/10 SFC... SE 4KT 250FT... SE 4KT 500FT... SE 4KT 1KFT... SE 4KT 2KFT... SE 5KT 3KFT... SE 4KT 4KFT... SE 4KT 5KFT... E 2KT MAX WIND...225/33KT 36.1KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3000FT...SATURATED PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 1C DEP AT 920MB/2900FT...SATURATED ABV. P.W. 2.36 IN. LI -3. SBCAPE 661 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 201/04KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 111351Z AUTO 16008KT 10SM FEW065 30/25 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP179 T03000250 TSNO METAR KGAO 141545Z AUTO 31003KT 10SM SCT026 SCT034 SCT065 30/25 A3003 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 141451Z 31005KT 10SM SCT022 31/24 A3002 METAR KIPN 121835Z AUTO 10011KT 9SM CLR 29/25 A3013 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 141555Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT021 SCT027 30/24 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 141555Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 141555Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM BKN025 30/25 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 141555Z AUTO 00000KT 9SM CLR 33/25 A3002 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW025. NO SIG WX. AFT 09Z...LCL 4-5SM BR TIL 14Z. LCL BKN025 VCTS 20/23Z. MARINE AREAS...VFR FEW025. NO SIG WX. KHUM 141511Z 1415/1512 00000KT P6SM SCT025 TEMPO 1415/1418 BKN025 FM141800 16006KT P6SM SCT040 TEMPO 1419/1421 BKN040 KHSA 141539Z 1416/1512 00000KT P6SM SCT025 TEMPO 1416/1418 BKN025 FM141800 23006KT P6SM SCT040= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT-BKN030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA ALONG THE COAST. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN025. ISOLD SHRA. LGT S WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...MVFR SCT-BKN025. ISOLD SHRA. LGT S WND. .RADAR...AT 1100 CDT...NO ECHOES OR LGTNG DETECTED WITHIN 150NM. CLOSEST TSRA REMAINED 150NM SSE AND THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.21 FT AT 0935 CDT STEADY...LOW TIDE 0.04 FT AT 2058 CDT. WYCM6 1.81 FT AT 0941 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.78 FT AT 1300 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88.0 F. .REST OF TODAY... TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........25 40 40 40 40 40 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............87 87 87 87 87 87 87 RH..............77 70 70 70 70 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..98 98 98 98 98 98 96 20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE SE S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 3 4 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 3 3 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM SM SM SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........40 35 35 35 30 30 WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TEMP............86 86 85 84 84 84 RH..............70 70 75 77 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 95 94 93 93 93 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 S 6 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 3000 2800 2800 2700 2600 MIX HGT (M).....910 910 850 850 820 790 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 S 6 S 9 S 9 S 12 S 10 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 3 S 3 S 4 S 4 S 5 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM LC LC LC LC LC .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 35 35 35 50 50 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 81 86 86 86 RH..............74 74 82 70 70 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 92 87 95 95 94 20 FT WIND......S 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 S 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 2800 3100 3100 3300 3300 MIX HGT (M).....790 850 940 940 1010 1010 TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 8 S 9 S 9 SW 10 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 SW 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...BANNAN REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100614.DEEPW.07/LIX