FNUS74 KLIX 142307 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 607 PM CDT MON JUN 14 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1700 CDT...FLAT 1016MB RIDGE ACROSS MUCH OF THE GLFMEX. WK 4MB GRADIENT WRN GLFMEX. UPR LVL LOW SEEN IN WV OVR OPS AREA MOVING SLOWLY TO THE WEST WITH LTL WX ASSOCD NR CENTER. ISOLD CONVECTION ON FRINGES OF CIRCULATION CONTINUES ACROSS CNTRL AND ERN GLFMEX. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER NORTH OF BAY OF CAMPECHE WILL MOVE TO THE NNW. SFC PRES AT SPILL SITE WAS 1016MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1700 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 99F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/...105F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/...105F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/...100F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/...100F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...MISSING GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/...108F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... A STAGNANT AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL ALLOW AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S. THESE HOT TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH HIGH HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL YIELD IN HEAT INDEX READINGS FROM 104 TO 108 DEGREE RANGE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AS WELL AS COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. WARMER URBAN AREAS MAY SEE THE HEAT INDEX RISE TO NEAR 110 DEGREES. THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT NORTH TONIGHT AND ALLOW DEEP MOISTURE TO MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTH. AN INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES AND SLIGHTLY LOWERED HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL PROVIDE A LITTLE RELIEF FROM THE HEAT TUESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND 100 DEGREES WILL BE COMMON EACH DAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TUESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES ARE SUGGESTED AT HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND 100 DEGREES. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 22Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 9KT 250FT... SE 10KT 500FT... SE 11KT 1KFT... SE 13KT 2KFT...ESE 8KT 3KFT... NE 8KT 4KFT... NE 10KT 5KFT...ENE 12KT MAX WIND...099/22KT 14.1KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 4100FT...INVERSION TO 6000FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. 4C DEP OR GRTR ENTIRE COLUMN. P.W. 1.79 IN. LI -5. SBCAPE 1214 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 128/11KT. 14/18Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z TUE 06/15/10 SFC... SE 3KT 250FT... SE 4KT 500FT... SE 4KT 1KFT... SE 4KT 2KFT... SE 4KT 3KFT... SE 3KT 4KFT... S 5KT 5KFT... S 7KT MAX WIND...179/20KT 24.8KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2700FT...SATURATED PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 1C DEP AT 925MB/2700FT...SATURATED ABV. P.W. 2.02 IN. LI -3. SBCAPE 550 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 202/03KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 142251Z AUTO 18005KT 9SM FEW055 32/24 A2996 RMK AO2 SLP143 T03170244 TSNO METAR KGAO 142245Z AUTO 19005KT CLR 33/25 A2995 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT N PWINO METAR KHSA 142253Z 23005KT 10SM SCT050 33/22 A2993 METAR KIPN 121835Z AUTO 10011KT 9SM CLR 29/25 A3013 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 142255Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT035 31/23 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 142255Z AUTO 14004KT 10SM 32/24 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 142255Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 31/24 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 142255Z AUTO 00000KT 9SM CLR 33/24 A2995 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW025. NO SIG WX. AFT 09Z...LCL 4-5SM BR TIL 14Z. LCL BKN025 TSRA BTWN 20-23Z. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025. AFT 06Z MVFR BKN020...SCT TSRA BKN017CB G25KT TOP 350. KHUM 142109Z 1421/1518 20006KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB SCT080 TEMPO 1421/1423 BKN040CB FM150200 20006KT P6SM FEW045 FM151200 VRB03KT 6SM HZ SCT025 FM151600 17008KT P6SM SCT045 KHSA 141733Z 1418/1518 VRB04KT P6SM SCT040 TEMPO 1419/1422 BKN040 FM150000 19004KT P6SM SKC FM151200 VRB04KT P6SM SCT025 FM151500 34006KT P6SM SCT045= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT-BKN030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA ALONG THE COAST. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN025. ISOLD SHRA. LGT S WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...MVFR SCT-BKN025. ISOLD SHRA. LGT S WND. .RADAR...AT 1800 CDT...ISOLD SHWR DISPTG 20NM N OF SPILL LOCATION. NO LGTNG THIS CELL. AN AREA OF TSTMS OVR S-CNTRL GLFMEX WITH OCNL LGTNG DETECTED 163NM SSW...MOVG NE 12KT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.70 FT AT 1754 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.04 FT AT 2100 CDT. WYCM6 1.63 FT AT 1739 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.25 FT AT 0000 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 95.4F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........40 35 35 35 35 35 35 30 30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............86 86 85 84 84 84 84 83 82 82 82 82 RH..............70 72 74 77 77 77 80 82 82 82 82 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 95 94 93 93 93 93 91 89 89 89 89 20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE S S S SE S S S S SW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 9 9 9 12 12 12 12 10 10 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........S25........................................... SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 35 35 35 50 50 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 82 83 86 86 86 RH..............79 79 77 70 70 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 90 95 95 94 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 6 SW 4 S 3 SE 6 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 2800 3100 3100 3300 3300 MIX HGT (M).....790 850 940 940 1010 1010 TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 8 S 9 S 9 SW 10 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 SW 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........S25 S22 S22 S20 B20 B20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .TUESDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 45 45 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............85 84 83 83 82 82 RH..............69 71 75 77 79 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 91 90 90 89 89 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 6 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 3100 2900 2900 2700 2600 MIX HGT (M).....1010 940 880 880 820 790 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 8 S 10 S 10 S 12 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 S 5 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........B18 B17 B17 B17 B20 B20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100614.DEEPW.13/LIX