FNUS74 KLIX 150009 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 709 PM CDT MON JUN 14 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1900 CDT...BROAD 1016MB HIGH PRES RIDGE ACROSS THE N GLFMEX. WK ELY WAVE...1013MB ALG 89W S OF 27N MOVG W 12KT. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE AND UPR LVL LOW PRES CIRCULATION MAY BRING AN INCREASE IN SHWRS/TSTMS VCNTY OPS AREA OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY TUE MORNING. SFC PRES AT SPILL SITE WAS 1015MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1900 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 99F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 96F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 99F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/...100F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/...102F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...MISSING GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/...105F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 22Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 9KT 250FT... SE 10KT 500FT... SE 11KT 1KFT... SE 13KT 2KFT...ESE 8KT 3KFT... NE 8KT 4KFT... NE 10KT 5KFT...ENE 12KT MAX WIND...099/22KT 14.1KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 4100FT...INVERSION TO 6000FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. 4C DEP OR GRTR ENTIRE COLUMN. P.W. 1.79 IN. LI -5. SBCAPE 1214 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 128/11KT. 14/18Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z TUE 06/15/10 SFC... SE 3KT 250FT... SE 4KT 500FT... SE 4KT 1KFT... SE 4KT 2KFT... SE 4KT 3KFT... SE 3KT 4KFT... S 5KT 5KFT... S 7KT MAX WIND...179/20KT 24.8KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2700FT...SATURATED PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 1C DEP AT 925MB/2700FT...SATURATED ABV. P.W. 2.02 IN. LI -3. SBCAPE 550 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 202/03KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 142351Z AUTO 18003KT 8SM CLR 31/24 A2995 RMK AO2 SLP141 T03110244 10333 20311 56014 TSNO METAR KGAO 150005Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 31/25 A2995 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT N AND NE METAR KHSA 142349Z 21003KT 10SM SCT055 32/22 A2993 METAR KIPN 121835Z AUTO 10011KT 9SM CLR 29/25 A3013 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 142355Z AUTO 10005KT 10SM BKN035 31/23 A2994 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 142355Z AUTO 14004KT 10SM 31/24 A2994 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 142355Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 30/24 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 142355Z AUTO 00000KT 9SM CLR 33/24 A2994 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW025...ISOLD TSRA TIL 01Z. AFT 09Z...LCL MVFR VSBY 4-5SM BR TIL 14Z. AFT 15Z...SCT-BKN025...LCL BKN025 TSRA BTWN 20-23Z. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025. AFT 06Z MVFR BKN020...SCT TSRA BKN017CB G25KT TOP 350. KHUM 142335Z 1500/1524 20006KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB SCT080 TEMPO 1500/1501 VRB25KT 3SM -TSRA BKN040CB FM150100 VRB04KT P6SM FEW050 SCT250 FM151000 VRB03KT 6SM HZ SCT025 FM151400 15005KT P6SM SCT030 FM151700 17007KT P6SM SCT040 PROB30 1520/1524 3SM -TSRA BKN035CB KHSA 142335Z 1500/1524 19004KT P6SM SCT030 FM151000 VRB04KT 5SM BR SCT025 FM151300 VRB05KT P6SM SCT030 FM151700 19006KT P6SM SCT040 PROB30 1520/1523 3SM -TSRA BKN035CB AMD NOT SKED AFT 150200= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT-BKN030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA ALONG THE COAST. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN025. ISOLD SHRA. LGT S WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...MVFR SCT-BKN025. ISOLD SHRA. LGT S WND. .RADAR...AT 1900 CDT...ISOLD SHWR DETECTED 42NM NE...57NM NW NR MOUTH OF MS RVR...87NM ESE AND 152NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION. CLOSEST LGTNG DETECTED 54NM NW TO THE EAST OF MOUTH OF MS RVR...MOVG WNW 5KT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.45 FT AT 1837 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.15 FT AT 2134 CDT. WYCM6 1.29 FT AT 1841 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.25 FT AT 0000 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 95.7F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........35 35 35 35 35 35 30 30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............86 85 84 84 84 84 83 82 82 82 82 RH..............72 74 77 77 77 80 82 82 82 82 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 94 93 93 93 93 91 89 89 89 89 20 FT WIND DIR..E SE S S S SE S S S S SW 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 9 9 9 12 12 12 12 10 10 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........S25 S25 S25 S25 S25 S25 S25 S22 S22 S22 S22 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 35 35 35 50 50 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 82 83 86 86 86 RH..............79 79 77 70 70 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 90 95 95 94 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 6 SW 4 S 3 SE 6 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 2800 3100 3100 3300 3300 MIX HGT (M).....790 850 940 940 1010 1010 TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 8 S 9 S 9 SW 10 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 SW 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........S22 S22 S20 S20 B20 B20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .TUESDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 45 45 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............85 84 83 83 82 82 RH..............69 71 75 77 79 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 91 90 90 89 89 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 6 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 3100 2900 2900 2700 2600 MIX HGT (M).....1010 940 880 880 820 790 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 8 S 10 S 10 S 12 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 S 5 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........B20 B20 B20 B20 S22 S25 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100614.DEEPW.14/LIX