FNAK79 PAFG 151428
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 417 BROOKS CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
628 AM AKDT TUE JUN 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0131 AKDT ON JUNE 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THIS FIRE IS LOCATED AT THE BASE OF A WELL DEFINED VALLEY...A
TRIBUTARY OF THE TOLOVANA RIVER RUNNING FROM NORTHEAST DOWN TOWARD
THE SOUTHWEST. NORTHEAST GRAVITY DRIVEN DOWN SLOPE FLOW CAN BE
EXPECTED AT NIGHT AND SOUTHWEST UP SLOPE WINDS DRIVEN BY SOLAR
HEATING ARE EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

MODERATELY BRISK SOUTH WIND FLOW ALOFT OVER THE FIRE WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A BRIEF REMISSION THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS AN INCOMING WEATHER FRONT BRINGS UP HUMIDITY
SOME. THE DRY SOUTH WINDS ALOFT WILL DIMINISH AND BECOME MORE
SOUTHEASTERLY ON FRIDAY...AND SO CONTINUE THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND. FOR THE MOST PART...THIS PATTERN WILL PROVIDE LESS DRYING
OF THE INCOMING AIR MASS DURING ITS PASSAGE OVER THE ALASKA RANGE
TO THE FIRE THAN IT HAS NOW. THIS WILL PROVIDE SOMEWHAT HIGHER
HUMIDITY AND A CHANCE OF SOME LIGHT RAIN. THE SHOWERS WHICH ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 5 DAYS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    AFTERNOON RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 2 TO
                    4 MPH BY 11 PM.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........CALM IN EARLY MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 14 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH DURING THE
AFTERNOON BURNING PERIOD.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS IN THE MORNING. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH AFTER NOON.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS IN THE MORNING.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH AFTER NOON.

$$
FORECASTER...FATHAUER
REQUESTED BY...AMBER SUNDERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100615.417BR.01/AFG