FNUS75 KGJT 160407
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOSHORN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1007 PM MDT TUE JUN 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2012 MDT ON JUNE 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DROP INTO THE NORTHERN
GREAT BASIN BY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. AS THIS SYSTEM SWINGS TO THE NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT...AN
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO WESTERN COLORADO. THE COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE BURN SITE BETWEEN 0300 AND 0600
MDT AND WILL RESULT IN A PERIOD OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS. TEMPERATURES
ON THURSDAY WILL BE AROUND 10 DEGREES COOL.


.WEDNESDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTH AND INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH
                    AROUND NOON WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL
                    INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    40 MPH BY MID-AFTERNOON. AT TIMES WITHIN
                    THE TIGHT VALLEY...THE TERRAIN MAY ACT TO FUNNEL
                    THE WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT BY NOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 12500 FT AGL DURING THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 MPH INCREASING TO 40 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-50%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 8-12 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL STRONGER
                    GUSTS. NEAR THE FRONT: WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTH
                    AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35
                    MPH POSSIBLE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GENERALLY FAIR. BETTER MIXING NEAR THE FRONT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-19%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST...INCREASING TO 9-14 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON WITH A FEW STRONGER GUSTS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR BY 1100...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MONTROSE INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100615.GOSHO.02/GJT