FNUS74 KLIX 151205 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 705 AM CDT TUE JUN 15 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 0700 CDT...BROAD AND FLAT 1017MB RIDGE COVERS THE ERN HALF OF GLFMEX. BROAD 5MB GRADIENT FM FRINGE OF RIDGE TO 1012MB ALG TX CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL SITE WAS 1016MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0700 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 91F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/...MISSING GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 79F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 79F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 100F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...MISSING GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 89F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 12Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 4KT 250FT... S 4KT 500FT... S 1KT 1KFT... S 2KT 2KFT... SE 7KT 3KFT... SE 6KT 4KFT... SE 7KT 5KFT... SE 9KT MAX WIND...239/34KT 40.7KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3500FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. 4C DEP OR GRTR TO 2000 FT. 2C DEP 2000 TO 3900 FT. 4C DEP OR GRTR ABOVE 3900 FT. P.W. 2.05 IN. LI -6.5. SBCAPE 2825 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 168/8KT. 15/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z WED 06/16/10 SFC...WSW 3KT 250FT...WSW 3KT 500FT...WSW 3KT 1KFT...WSW 3KT 2KFT... W 3KT 3KFT...WSW 2KT 4KFT... SW 3KT 5KFT... SW 4KT MAX WIND...281/15KT 39.7KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1900FT...SATURATED PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 1C DEP AT 950MB/1900FT...V-DRY TO 925MB/2800FT...5C DEP TO 550MB...2C DEP ABV 550MB. P.W. 2.06 IN. LI -5. SBCAPE 1568 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 255/02KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 151151Z AUTO 12003KT 6SM BR CLR 28/26 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP163 T02780256 10289 20272 53010 TSNO METAR KGAO 151145Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 25/23 A3000 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE METAR KHSA 151155Z 00000KT 5SM BR CLR 24/24 A3000 METAR KIPN 121835Z AUTO 10011KT 9SM CLR 29/25 A3013 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 151155Z AUTO 19005KT 10SM SCT026 SCT031 SCT060 29/24 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 151155Z AUTO 18008KT 10SM 29/25 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 151155Z AUTO 22005KT 10SM SCT026 SCT031 30/24 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 151155Z AUTO 18004KT 10SM CLR 31/25 A3000 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT-BKN035...SCT TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOP350. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025. ISO TSRA BKN015CB G25KT TOP 350. KHUM 151126Z 1512/1612 VRB03KT 6SM BR SCT025 FM151400 18004KT P6SM SCT030 TEMPO 1518/1520 5SM -TSRA BKN050CB FM160100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW045 BKN250 TEMPO 1610/1612 4SM BR KHSA 151126Z 1512/1612 00000KT 5SM BR SCT025 FM151300 VRB05KT P6SM SCT030 TEMPO 1518/1521 -TSRA BKN050CB FM152100 19006KT P6SM SCT040 PROB30 1521/1524 TS BKN050CB FM160100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW045 BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN025. ISOLD SHRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...MVFR SCT-BKN025. ISOLD SHRA. LGT W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...MVFR SCT-BKN025. ISOLD SHRA. LGT W WND. .RADAR...AT 0700 CDT...ISOLD TSTM OVER BARATARIA BAY. OTHER ISOLD TSTM ABOUT 50 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SPILL SITE. TSTMS ARE DRIFTING NORTH AT 5 KNOTS OR LESS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.61 FT AT 0636 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.98 FT AT 1054 CDT. WYCM6 1.34 FT AT 0636 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.84 FT AT 1355 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 89.1F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........35 35 35 35 35 35 50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............82 82 82 83 84 86 86 86 86 86 86 RH..............77 77 77 77 74 72 72 72 72 72 72 HEAT INDEX (F)..88 88 88 90 92 96 96 96 96 96 96 20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.9 2.9 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.2 2 2 3 3 3 7 7 7 7 7 TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........S25....................................... SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 45 45 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............85 84 83 83 82 82 RH..............75 77 77 77 79 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 93 91 90 89 89 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 3100 2900 2900 2700 2600 MIX HGT (M).....1010 940 880 880 820 790 TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 S 6 S 8 S 8 S 9 SW 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 3 S 3 S 4 S 4 S 4 SW 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........45 55 55 55 60 60 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 82 83 86 86 86 RH..............82 82 80 70 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 91 95 95 95 20 FT WIND......W 5 W 4 N 4 E 3 SE 4 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 3000 3700 3700 4300 4400 MIX HGT (M).....790 910 1130 1130 1310 1340 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 SW 7 SW 5 SW 5 SW 3 W 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 SW 1 W 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC SM SM SM SM LC $$ FORECASTER...GRIGSBY REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100615.DEEPW.03/LIX