FNUS74 KLIX 151516 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1016 AM CDT TUE JUN 15 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1000 CDT...BROAD AND FLAT 1017MB RIDGE COVERS THE ERN HALF OF GLFMEX. BROAD 5MB GRADIENT FM FRINGE OF RIDGE TO 1012MB ALG TX CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL SITE WAS 1016MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1000 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 94F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 98F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 97F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 98F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 102F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...MISSING GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 102F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 15Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 3KT 250FT... SE 3KT 500FT... SE 3KT 1KFT... SSE 4KT 2KFT... S 6KT 3KFT... S 4KT 4KFT... S 4KT 5KFT... S 5KT MAX WIND...231/33KT 41.0KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3500FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. 4C DEP OR GRTR TO 2200 FT. 2C DEP 2200 TO 3200 FT. 4C DEP OR GRTR ABOVE 3200 FT. P.W. 2.04 IN. LI -7.3. SBCAPE 3264 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 163/5KT. 15/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z WED 06/16/10 SFC...SW 9KT 250FT...SW 10KT 500FT...SW 10KT 1KFT...SW 10KT 2KFT...SW 10KT 3KFT...SW 9KT 4KFT...SSW 10KT 5KFT...S 13KT MAX WIND...229/27KT 35.8KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2100FT...SATURATED PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 2C DEP AT 950MB/2100FT......5C DEP TO 550MB...3C DEP ABV 500MB. P.W. 1.95 IN. LI -5. SBCAPE 1376 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 201/09KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 151451Z AUTO 19004KT 9SM CLR 31/22 A3004 RMK AO2 SLP171 T03110217 51007 TSNO METAR KGAO 151505Z AUTO 06005KT 10SM TS BKN027 BKN034 29/23 A3004 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE METAR KHSA 151458Z 34003KT 10SM SCT035 30/24 A3002 METAR KIPN 121835Z AUTO 10011KT 9SM CLR 29/25 A3013 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 151455Z AUTO 16004KT 10SM FEW025 30/24 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 151455Z AUTO 16007KT 10SM FEW019 30/25 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 151455Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT028 BKN036 BKN044 31/24 A3005 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 151455Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 33/24 A3002 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT-BKN035...SCT TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOP350. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025. ISO TSRA BKN015CB G25KT TOP 350. KHUM 151510Z 1515/1612 20004KT P6SM SCT030 TEMPO 1515/1519 5SM -TSRA BKN030CB FM151900 18008KT P6SM SCT045 TEMPO 1519/1523 2SM -TSRA BKN030CB FM160100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW045 BKN250 TEMPO 1610/1612 4SM BR KHSA 151126Z 1512/1612 00000KT 5SM BR SCT025 FM151300 VRB05KT P6SM SCT030 TEMPO 1518/1521 -TSRA BKN050CB FM152100 19006KT P6SM SCT040 PROB30 1521/1524 TS BKN050CB FM160100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW045 BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN025. ISOLD SHRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...MVFR SCT-BKN025. ISOLD SHRA. LGT W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...MVFR SCT-BKN025. ISOLD SHRA. LGT W WND. .RADAR...AT 1000 CDT...ISOLD TSTMS OVER CHANDELEUR AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND AND NEARBY ADJACENT COASTAL LAND AREAS. SCTD TSTM LOWER LAFOURCHE AND BARATARIA BAY. ISOLD TSTMS LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LOWER PLAQUEMINES...AND LOWER ST BERNARD. ALL CONVECTION DRIFTING NORTH AT LESS THAN 5 KNOTS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.05 FT AT 0948 CDT STEADY...LOW TIDE 0.14 FT AT 2142 CDT. WYCM6 1.80 FT AT 0942 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.84 FT AT 1355 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88.5F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........35 35 35 50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............83 84 86 86 86 86 86 86 RH..............77 74 72 72 72 72 72 72 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 92 96 96 96 96 96 96 20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 7 7 7 7 7 TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........S25............................ SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 45 45 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............85 84 83 83 82 82 RH..............75 77 77 77 79 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 93 91 90 89 89 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 3100 2900 2900 2700 2600 MIX HGT (M).....1010 940 880 880 820 790 TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 S 6 S 8 S 8 S 9 SW 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 3 S 3 S 4 S 4 S 4 SW 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........45 55 55 55 60 60 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 82 83 86 86 86 RH..............82 82 80 70 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 91 95 95 95 20 FT WIND......W 5 W 4 N 4 E 3 SE 4 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 3000 3700 3700 4300 4400 MIX HGT (M).....790 910 1130 1130 1310 1340 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 SW 7 SW 5 SW 5 SW 3 W 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 SW 1 W 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC SM SM SM SM LC $$ FORECASTER...GRIGSBY REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100615.DEEPW.06/LIX