FNUS74 KLIX 152309 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 609 PM CDT TUE JUN 15 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1800 CDT...BROAD AND FLAT 1018MB RIDGE COVERS THE ERN HALF OF GLFMEX. 1017MB HIGH CNTRD NR 27N/89W. WK 1015MB TROF ORIENTED E-W BLO MS/AL CST. 6MB GRADIENT W GLFMEX...HIGH TO 1013MB ALG TX CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION WAS 1017MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1800 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 98F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/...102F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 98F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 95F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/...MISG RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...MISG GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/...101F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 21Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 6KT 250FT... S 7KT 500FT... S 7KT 1KFT... S 8KT 2KFT...SSE 7KT 3KFT... SE 5KT 4KFT... SE 7KT 5KFT... SE 7KT MAX WIND...242/29KT 39.5KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 5000FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. 4C DEP OR GRTR THROUGHOUT. P.W. 1.70 IN. LI -2. SBCAPE 957 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 191/7KT. 15/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 00Z WED 06/16/10 SFC...W 6KT 250FT...W 7KT 500FT...W 7KT 1KFT...W 7KT 2KFT...W 7KT 3KFT...W 4KT 4KFT...SW 7KT 5KFT...SW 9KT MAX WIND...246/33KT 40.5KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2000FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 2C DEP AT 950MB/2000FT...5C DEP TO 550MB...3C DEP ABV 500MB. P.W. 1.96 IN. LI -3.3. SBCAPE 1280 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 248/07KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 152251Z AUTO 26007KT 10SM CLR 31/23 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP161 T03060228 TSNO METAR KGAO 152305Z AUTO 20004KT VCTS SCT034 32/23 A3000 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NW METAR KHSA 152251Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 29/25 A3000 METAR KIPN 121835Z AUTO 10011KT 9SM CLR 29/25 A3013 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 152255Z AUTO 20004KT 10SM FEW026 30/25 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 152255Z AUTO 19006KT 30/25 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 152255Z AUTO 23009KT 10SM CLR 31/24 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 152255Z AUTO 25010G17KT 10SM FEW025 31/22 A2999 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT-BKN035...SCT TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOP350. AFT 09Z...LCL MVFR 4-5SM BR TIL 14Z. MARINE AREAS...MVF BKN020. ISO TSRA BKN015CB G25KT TOP 350. KHUM 152001Z 1520/1618 18008KT P6SM SCT045 TEMPO 1520/1522 BKN045CB FM152200 19006KT P6SM VCSH BKN045CB FM160100 18004KT P6SM FEW045 BKN250 TEMPO 1610/1612 4SM BR FM161200 VRB04KT P6SM SCT025 FM161600 20004KT P6SM VCSH SCT045 PROB30 1616/1618 TS BKN045CB KHSA 152231Z 1523/1618 19004KT P6SM FEW030 BKN250 FM161200 VRB04KT P6SM SCT025 FM161600 VRB04KT P6SM VCSH SCT035 PROB30 1616/1618 4SM -TSRA BKN035CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN025. ISOLD SHRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...MVFR SCT-BKN025. ISOLD SHRA. LGT W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...MVFR SCT-BKN025. ISOLD SHRA. LGT W WND. .RADAR...AT 1800 CDT...ISOLD SHWR DETECTED 52NM W...MOVG NE 8KT. NO LGTNG THIS CELL. CLOSEST LGTNG...140NM NW NR LOCKPORT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.97 FT AT 1739 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.19 FT AT 2300 CDT. WYCM6 1.81 FT AT 1739 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.02 FT AT 0102 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: MISG. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........75 75 75 75 50 50 50 45 45 45 45 45 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 85 84 83 83 83 83 82 81 81 81 81 RH..............75 72 77 77 80 80 82 85 85 85 85 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 93 91 90 91 91 91 89 87 87 87 87 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW W 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 3.1 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........B25........................................... SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........45 55 55 55 60 60 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 81 83 85 86 85 RH..............82 82 74 70 68 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 87 90 93 94 93 20 FT WIND......W 5 W 4 W 3 SW 4 S 4 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 3000 3700 3700 4300 4400 MIX HGT (M).....790 910 1130 1130 1310 1340 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 SW 7 SW 5 SW 5 SW 3 W 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 SW 1 W 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 CEILINGS........B25................................... SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC SM SM SM SM LC .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........60 60 60 60 50 50 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 84 82 82 82 82 RH..............72 74 79 79 79 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 92 89 89 89 89 20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....4400 4400 4000 4000 3400 2600 MIX HGT (M).....1340 1340 1220 1220 1040 790 TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 NW 6 W 7 W 7 SW 7 W 7 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 2 NW 3 W 3 W 3 SW 3 W 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........B25.................................... SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC SM LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100615.DEEPW.16/LIX