FNAK79 PAFG 171232
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 899 TOKLAT 2...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
432 AM AKDT THU JUN 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2113 AKDT ON JUNE 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MODERATE LOW PRESSURE CENTERED IN THE NORTHERN BERING SEA...ABOUT
700 MILES WEST OF THE FIRE...IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AND LOSING
STRENGTH. SOUTH WINDS OUT OF THE ALASKA RANGE WERE LOCALLY BRISK
OVER NIGHT...WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH AT ANTLER CREEK ON THE PARKS
HIGHWAY NEAR DENALI NATIONAL PARK. THERE IS STILL A SOUTHWEST
BREEZE OF 5 TO 15 MPH OVER THE FIRE BUT THIS WILL DROP OFF
CONCLUSIVELY THURSDAY EVENING.

THE AIR MASS OVER THE FIRE IS UNSTABLE ONLY IN THE FIRST
10 THOUSAND FEET OR SO THIS MORNING...THE SOUTHERLY FLOW HAS
BROUGHT IN WARMER AIR ALOFT. CONSIDERABLY LIGHTER FLOW ALOFT
IS EXPECTED SATURDAY. LIGHTNING WILL BE MORE POSSIBLE THEN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 8 TO 13 MPH
                    MID DAY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-2800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65 TO 75 PERCENT).
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS NEAR 69. LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 67. LIGHT SOUTH WINDS.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS AROUND 65. LIGHT SOUTH WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...FATHAUER
REQUESTED BY...DERREK HARTMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100616.899TO.01/AFG