FNUS74 KMAF 161104
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR SUBLETT FIRE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
604 AM CDT WED JUN 16 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0443 MDT ON JUNE 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND BUT
ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH
DAY.  A SURFACE TROUGH WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE SITE WITH
SOUTHEAST FLOW KEEPING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE GOOD.  MINIMUM RH WILL
BE AROUND 20 PERCENT FOR THE SITE WITH GOOD RECOVERY AT NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 105.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (66500 KNOT-FT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                          ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         RNSHWR
CHC OF PCPN (%).0            0            10
TEMP............73           87           100
RH..............66           38           20
20 FT WIND DIR..E            SE           SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3            10           15
20 FT WIND GUST.5
MIX HGT (FT)....3000         5000         7600
TRANS WIND DIR..SE           SE           SE
TRANS WIND SPD..7            7            9
HAINES INDEX....5            4            3

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (18100 KNOT-FT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD       ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10           10           10
TEMP............99           94           81
RH..............19           25           46
20 FT WIND DIR..E            SE           E
20 FT WIND SPD..19           18           11
20 FT WIND GUST.25           20
MIX HGT (FT)....11000        7600         3600
TRANS WIND DIR..E            SE           SE
TRANS WIND SPD..11           13           14
HAINES INDEX....3            3            4

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 104.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH BECOMING EAST 9
                    TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (45000 KNOT-FT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10           10           10
TEMP............75           87           100
RH..............66           38           22
20 FT WIND DIR..NE           E            E
20 FT WIND SPD..3            11           11
20 FT WIND GUST.5
MIX HGT (FT)....2600         4400         6800
TRANS WIND DIR..SE           E            E
TRANS WIND SPD..6            4            4
HAINES INDEX....5            5            4

$$

FORECASTER...CAIN
REQUESTED BY...BILL MILLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100616.SUBLE.01/MAF