FNUS73 KGRR 171403
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR BORMAN KNAPWEED...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1003 AM EDT THU JUN 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JUNE 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE REGION TODAY GIVING
US A PLEASANT DAY WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND HIGHS FROM 80 TO
85...ALTHOUGH IT WILL BE COOLER NEAR THE LAKE. BY FRIDAY IT WILL
BECOME INCREASINGLY WARM AND HUMID. A WARM FRONT COULD TRIGGER A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY OVER WEST CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN.

THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING STORMS IN THE SHORT TERM WILL COME FRIDAY
NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT BUMPS INTO THE WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS.  A FEW
OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (75-85 PERCENT).
                    TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 84.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH
                    7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 1 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4700-5200
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-400 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 500 (GOOD)
                    LATE IN THE DAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 14 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1300 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 16 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 25
                    TO 28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-300 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 1200-1400
                    (EXCELLENT) LATE IN THE DAY DECREASING TO 900
                    IN THE EVENING.

$$
FORECASTER...MEADE
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN SHERRETZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100617.BORMA.02/GRR