FNUS74 KLIX 182227 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 527 PM CDT FRI JUN 18 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1700 CDT...BROAD 1017/1018MB RIDGE COVERS THE NRN GLFMEX. 3/4MB GRADIENT W GLFMEX...HIGH TO 1014MB ALONG LWR TX COAST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION WAS 1018MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1600 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 102F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 88F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 100F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 98F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 110F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... 110F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 84F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 21Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...NNE 3KT 250FT...NNE 3KT 500FT...NNE 3KT 1KFT...NNE 4KT 2KFT...NNW 5KT 3KFT... N 5KT 4KFT...WNW 6KT 5KFT... NW 4KT MAX WIND...044/29KT 40.4KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1300FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. P.W. 1.96 IN. LI -4.7. SBCAPE 1396 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 054/4KT. 18/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z FRI 06/19/10 SFC... NW 4KT 250FT... NW 5KT 500FT... NW 5KT 1KFT... NW 5KT 2KFT... NW 5KT 3KFT... NW 3KT 4KFT... SE 2KT 5KFT... SE 4KT MAX WIND...027/22KT 31.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2000FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 1C DEP AT 865MB/2100FT...V-DRY ABV 865MB/2100FT. P.W. 2.03 IN. LI -5.4. SBCAPE 2284 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 093/5KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 182151Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM CLR 32/24 A3002 RMK AO2 SLP165 T03220244 TSNO $ METAR KGAO 182223Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 31/25 A3002 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NW METAR KHSA 182051Z 26005KT 10SM SCT070 32/22 A3001 METAR KIPN 182215Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 34/26 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 182215Z AUTO 31006KT 10SM FEW028 31/25 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 182215Z AUTO 28006KT 10SM 31/25 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 182215Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 31/25 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 182215Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 34/26 A3000 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030...SCT 2-3SM TSRA BKN025CB G35KT TOP 450. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025-030...ISOLD-SCT TSRA G28KT TOP 380 THRU 00Z. KHUM 182105Z 1821/1918 25006KT P6SM SCT035 SCT090 BKN250 TEMPO 1821/1823 3SM -TSRA SCT025CB BKN035 FM190100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW045 SCT250 KHSA 181727Z 1818/1918 19006KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB TEMPO 1819/1821 VRB15G25KT 5SM -TSRA SCT030CB BKN050 FM190100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW045 SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCTRD TSRA. LGT N WND AM...LGT SW WND PM. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCTRD TSRA. LGT NW WND AM...LGT SE WND PM. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCTRD TSRA. LGT E WND AM...MOD SE WND PM. .RADAR... AT 1700 CDT...ISOLD SHWRS REMAIN AROUND 20-40NM S AND EAST OF THE SPILL SITE. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY REMAIN AWAY FROM THE AREA AND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. CLOSEST LGHTNG IN THE LAST HOUR WAS 25NM TO THE SOUTH BUT OVER THE LAST 30 MINS IS WELL OVER 100NM AWAY. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.87 FT AT 1536 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.80 FT AT 2300 CDT. WYCM6 1.24 FT AT 1536 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.80 FT AT 0100 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: MISG .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........52 52 35 35 35 35 35 41 41 41 41 41 41 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............87 87 86 86 85 85 84 84 83 83 83 83 83 RH..............70 72 72 75 75 77 77 80 80 77 72 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..98 98 96 96 94 94 94 94 92 91 90 89 88 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 4 4 4 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM LC LC LC .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........41 53 53 53 68 68 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............83 84 85 87 88 88 RH..............70 68 68 65 65 65 HEAT INDEX (F)..88 90 93 95 98 98 20 FT WIND......W 5 NW 5 N 5 N 5 NW 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 2600 2800 2800 3000 2800 MIX HGT (M).....760 790 850 850 910 850 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 5 NW 5 NW 5 NW 5 W 5 W 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 2 NW 2 NW 2 NW 2 W 2 W 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM LC LC .SATURDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........68 45 45 45 53 53 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............87 85 84 83 83 83 RH..............60 62 66 70 70 72 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 90 90 88 90 90 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 2 S 3 SW 4 W 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 3100 2600 2600 2600 2600 MIX HGT (M).....850 940 790 790 790 790 TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 W 5 W 5 W 5 W 5 W 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 2 W 2 W 2 W 2 W 2 W 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC SM SM SM LC LC $$ FORECASTER...BANNAN REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100618.DEEPW.13/LIX