FNUS74 KLIX 190016 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 716 PM CDT FRI JUN 18 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1900 CDT...BROAD 1017MB RIDGE COVERS THE NRN GLFMEX. 4MB GRADIENT W GLFMEX...HIGH TO 1013MB ALONG LWR TX COAST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION WAS 1016MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1800 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 100F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 89F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 91F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 97F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 105F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... 103F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 93F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 21Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... LT & VRB 250FT... N 3KT 500FT... N 3KT 1KFT...NNW 10KT 2KFT... NW 12KT 3KFT... NW 13KT 4KFT... NW 13KT 5KFT... NW 7KT MAX WIND...046/34KT 40.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1300FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. P.W. 1.47 IN. LI -3.5. SBCAPE 957 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 038/5KT. 18/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z FRI 06/19/10 SFC... NW 4KT 250FT... NW 5KT 500FT... NW 5KT 1KFT... NW 5KT 2KFT... NW 5KT 3KFT... NW 3KT 4KFT... SE 2KT 5KFT... SE 4KT MAX WIND...027/22KT 31.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2000FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 1C DEP AT 865MB/2100FT...V-DRY ABV 865MB/2100FT. P.W. 2.03 IN. LI -5.4. SBCAPE 2284 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 093/5KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 182351Z AUTO 25006KT 10SM CLR 31/25 A3000 RMK AO2 SLP159 T03110250 10328 20289 56012 TSNO $ METAR KGAO 190003Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 28/25 A3001 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT N METAR KHSA 182051Z 26005KT 10SM SCT070 32/22 A3001 METAR KIPN 182355Z AUTO VRB05KT 10SM CLR 32/25 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 182355Z AUTO 33004KT 10SM BKN030 BKN037 31/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 182355Z AUTO 27004KT 10SM 30/24 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 182355Z AUTO 22005KT 10SM CLR 32/25 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 182355Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM FEW030 33/25 A3000 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030...SCT 2-3SM TSRA BKN025CB G35KT TOP 450. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025-030...ISOLD-SCT TSRA G28KT TOP 380 THRU 00Z. KHUM 182336Z 1900/1924 VRB04KT P6SM SCT040 SCT080 BKN250 FM190200 VRB03KT P6SM FEW045 SCT250 FM191000 VRB03KT P6SM SCT022 FM191300 28005KT P6SM SCT030 FM191700 21006KT P6SM SCT035 KHSA 182336Z 1900/1924 25005KT P6SM SCT035 TEMPO 1901/1902 VRB20KT 4SM -TSRA SCT030CB BKN050 FM190400 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM191000 00000KT P6SM SCT022 FM191300 28004KT P6SM SCT030 FM191700 21005KT P6SM SCT035 PROB30 1920/1923 3SM -TSRA SCT028CB BKN035= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCTRD TSRA. LGT N WND AM...LGT SW WND PM. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCTRD TSRA. LGT NW WND AM...LGT SE WND PM. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCTRD TSRA. LGT E WND AM...MOD SE WND PM. .RADAR... AT 1900 CDT...THE OPERATIONS AREA IS BASICALLY RAIN FREE NOW AS MOST SHRA ACTIVITY HAS DISIPATED. THE CLOSEST LGHTNG DETECTED OVER 100NM AWAY. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.84 FT AT 1845 CDT ERRATIC...LOW TIDE WITHIN THE HOUR. WYCM6 0.77 FT AT 1835 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.60 FT AT 0100 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: MISG .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........35 35 35 35 35 41 41 41 41 41 41 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TEMP............86 86 85 85 84 84 83 83 83 83 83 RH..............72 75 75 77 77 80 80 77 72 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 96 94 94 94 94 92 91 90 89 88 20 FT WIND DIR..SW S SE S S S SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC SM SM LC LC LC .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........41 53 53 53 68 68 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............83 84 85 87 88 88 RH..............70 68 68 65 65 65 HEAT INDEX (F)..88 90 93 95 98 98 20 FT WIND......SW 2 NW 5 N 5 N 5 NW 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 2600 2800 2800 3000 2800 MIX HGT (M).....760 790 850 850 910 850 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 5 NW 5 NW 5 NW 5 W 5 W 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 2 NW 2 NW 2 NW 2 W 2 W 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC SM .SATURDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........68 45 45 45 53 53 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............87 85 84 83 83 83 RH..............60 62 66 70 70 72 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 90 90 88 90 90 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 2 S 3 SW 4 W 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 3100 2600 2600 2600 2600 MIX HGT (M).....850 940 790 790 790 790 TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 W 5 W 5 W 5 W 5 W 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 2 W 2 W 2 W 2 W 2 W 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM LC LC $$ FORECASTER...BANNAN REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100618.DEEPW.15/LIX