FNUS73 KLOT 181501 FWSLOT SPOT FORECAST FOR SITE 2 P3...U.S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 1001 AM CDT FRI JUN 18 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON JUNE 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT. TODAY WILL BE VERY WARM AND HUMID WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE LOWER 90S. SATURDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY LESS HUMID BUT STILL WARM WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........84 AT IGNITION...MAX 91. MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. LAL.................9-15 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL LATE INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 26 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /33500 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...VERY GOOD /124800 KNOT-FT/. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........28 35 42 44 47 49 56 63 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 85 88 90 90 90 90 89 RH..............65 60 58 56 55 55 55 56 20FT WIND DIR...180 200 210 210 210 210 210 200 20FT SPEED(MPH).8 9 10 10 11 12 11 10 20FT SPEED(KT)..7 8 8 9 10 10 10 8 20FT GUST(MPH)..21 22 24 24 24 24 23 22 20FT GUST(KT)...18 19 21 21 21 21 20 19 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 4.2 5.1 5.7 5.8 5.7 5.3 4.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.210 220 220 220 220 210 210 200 TRANSP WIND SPD.15 13 13 16 21 25 26 25 CWR.............10 10 20 20 30 60 60 60 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 VRATE KT-FT/100034 43 56 82 109 125 120 102 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....73. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. LAL.................1-8 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 24 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-78500 KNOT-FT). TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........70 67 63 60 60 59 58 59 59 59 55 50 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............88 86 83 81 80 79 76 75 75 74 74 74 RH..............59 64 68 71 75 76 84 86 86 90 89 88 20FT WIND DIR...190 190 200 200 200 200 200 210 210 210 210 220 20FT SPEED(MPH).8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 20FT SPEED(KT)..7 6 6 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 20FT GUST(MPH)..22 20 17 15 13 12 10 10 10 10 12 13 20FT GUST(KT)...19 17 15 13 11 10 9 9 9 9 10 11 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 210 210 210 220 TRANSP WIND SPD.24 23 21 20 20 20 21 20 20 21 21 22 CWR.............40 40 40 40 40 40 30 30 30 30 30 30 LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 VRATE KT-FT/100079 52 25 4 0 0 4 4 4 4 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....89. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO VERY GOOD (6700-114500 KNOT-FT). TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........45 44 43 43 42 40 39 40 41 42 43 45 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............76 78 81 84 85 87 88 88 88 89 88 86 RH..............82 75 68 62 59 54 51 49 47 45 46 50 20FT WIND DIR...230 230 250 260 260 270 270 270 280 280 290 290 20FT SPEED(MPH).7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 20FT SPEED(KT)..6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 20FT GUST(MPH)..14 15 16 17 18 18 20 18 17 17 15 14 20FT GUST(KT)...12 13 14 15 16 16 17 16 15 15 13 12 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 1.0 1.8 2.8 3.6 4.4 5.0 5.3 5.4 5.3 5.5 5.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.230 240 260 270 270 280 280 280 280 290 290 300 TRANSP WIND SPD.22 21 18 17 18 21 23 24 25 24 23 22 CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 VRATE KT-FT/10007 15 27 42 62 84 101 111 115 113 111 104 $$ FORECASTER...SULLIVAN REQUESTED BY...CAMDEN BUMPUS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100618.SITE2.01/LOT