FNUS75 KPUB 182044
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEDANO EAST SIDE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
244 PM MDT FRI JUN 18 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

HOT DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE BURN AREA
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  GIVEN THE RANGE IN ELEVATION OF THE FIRE
HAVE BROKEN TEMPERATURE AND HUMIDITY FORECAST OUT BASED ON ELEVATION
AS NEEDED.  GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO EVENING WITH
HUMIDITIES RECOVERING ABOVE 10% ACROSS THE LOWER AREAS AFTER 900 PM.
HIGHER ELEVATIONS MAY SEE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES OCCUR A BIT LATER
AS INVERSIONS SET UP IN THE VALLEYS FIRST.  HUMIDITY RECOVERIES
ALL AREAS THOUGH WILL BE POOR TONIGHT.  TOMORROW...WINDS WILL
INCREASE ALL AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH A RETURN OF RED
FLAG CONDITIONS. HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY DROP BELOW 10 PERCENT
BY NOON ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...AND BY 2 PM ACROSS THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.  SOUTHWEST WINDS COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 40 MPH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

SUNDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY AND WINDY.


.DISCUSSION...

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75F ABOVE 9000 FEET...76-82 BELOW 9000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT ABOVE 9000 FEET...5-10 PERCENT
                    BELOW.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 14-28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......15000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50F.
MAX HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    4-8 MPH.  RIDGE TOP WINDS ABOVE 10000 FEET
                    REMAINING SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL
                    AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2400.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75F ABOVE 9000 FEET...76-82 BELOW 9000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT...EXCEPT 8-13 PERCENT ABOVE 9000
                    FEET.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 0700. 15000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100618.MEDAN.02/PUB