FNUS74 KLIX 191021 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 521 AM CDT SAT JUN 19 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0500 CDT...FLAT PRES GRADIENT ACRS ENTIRE GLFMEX. 1018MB LOCALIZED HIGH CNTRD NR 27.5N/90W. WK 1016MB TROF ORIENTED E-W FM CHAND ISL TO NR KAQQ...STNRY. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0500 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 85F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 81F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 77F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 78F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 97F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... 92F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 80F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WATERS SOUTHEAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA... AT 430 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS... OVER COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND LOUISIANA OUT 20 TO 60 NM. THESE STORMS WERE ROUGHLY 10 TO 20NM NORTH TO NORTHWEST OF THE DEEPWATER HORIZON SITE...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 08Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...WSW 12KT 250FT... SW 11KT 500FT... SW 11KT 1KFT...WSW 10KT 2KFT... NW 8KT 3KFT...NNE 5KT 4KFT... E 7KT 5KFT... SE 10KT MAX WIND...047/22KT 21.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3400FT...WARM LAPSE TO 5300FT...COND STABLE LAPSE TO 14.5KFT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 20.8KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 4C DEP AT 990MB/800FT...V-DRY TO 812MB/6500FT...CONV CURVES TO 1C DEP AT 600MB...V-DRY TO 500MB...5C DEP OR GRTR ABV. P.W. 1.84 IN. LI -7.5 SBCAPE 4870 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 066/3KT. 19/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SUN 06/20/10 SFC... E 8KT 250FT... E 8KT 500FT... E 8KT 1KFT... E 8KT 2KFT... E 9KT 3KFT...ENE 11KT 4KFT... NE 12KT 5KFT... NE 14KT MAX WIND...027/22KT 31.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 1C DEP AT 865MB/2100FT...V-DRY ABV 865MB/2100FT. P.W. 1.85". LI -2.9. SBCAPE 1164 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 073/9KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 190951Z AUTO 32003KT 10SM CLR 27/24 A3003 RMK AO2 SLP168 T02670239 TSNO $ METAR KGAO 191003Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 24/23 A3003 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E AND S METAR KHSA 182051Z 26005KT 10SM SCT070 32/22 A3001 METAR KIPN 190955Z AUTO 22005KT 10SM SCT042 29/24 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 190955Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 31/24 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 190955Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 30/24 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 190955Z AUTO 24003KT 10SM CLR 31/24 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 190955Z AUTO 28004KT 10SM BKN034 BKN040 30/25 A3002 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030...SCT 2-3SM TSRA BKN025CB G35KT TOP 450. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025-030...ISOLD-SCT TSRA G28KT TOP 380 THRU 00Z. KHUM 190532Z 1906/2006 VRB02KT P6SM SCT250 FM191000 00000KT P6SM SCT022 FM191300 28005KT P6SM SCT030 FM191700 21006KT P6SM SCT035 FM200100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW040 SCT250 KHSA 190532Z 1906/2006 00000KT P6SM BKN250 FM191000 00000KT P6SM SCT022 FM191300 28004KT P6SM SCT030 FM191700 21005KT P6SM SCT035 PROB30 1920/1923 3SM -TSRA SCT028CB BKN035 FM200100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW045 SCT080 BKN250 AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT N WND AM...LGT E WND PM. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0500 CDT...SCT STG TSTMS WITH FQT LGTNG XTNDD FM 18NM W TO 43NM N OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG SW 5KT. CLOSEST LGTNG...18NM WNW OF SPILL LOCATION. ACTIVITY TO INC IN COVERG AND INTENSITY THROUGH 0800CDT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.32 FT AT 0430 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.37 FT AT 0640 CDT. WYCM6 1.63 FT AT 0437 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.70 FT AT 0745 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88.5F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........41 45 45 45 45 45 45 61 61 61 61 61 61 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............83 84 84 85 85 86 87 88 88 88 88 88 88 RH..............70 72 72 71 72 72 70 68 66 66 66 66 64 HEAT INDEX (F)..88 91 93 94 95 95 96 98 99 100 100 100 99 20 FT WIND DIR..SW NW N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N N N N NE NE NE N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 5 5 5 3 3 TRANS SPD (M/S).2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........B25 B25 B25 B25 B28 B28 B30 B30 B30 B30 B30 B30 B25 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........61 46 46 46 52 52 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............88 87 85 84 83 83 RH..............62 63 68 71 74 74 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 94 94 91 90 90 20 FT WIND......N 3 NW 2 W 2 W 2 W 3 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2700 2600 2600 2500 2400 MIX HGT (M).....820 820 790 790 760 730 TRANSPORT WIND..N 3 N 1 S 2 S 2 SW 5 W 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).N 1 N 0 S 1 S 1 SW 2 W 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........52 68 68 68 77 77 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 84 85 86 88 89 RH..............72 70 67 65 59 57 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 90 92 93 95 96 20 FT WIND......NW 2 NW 4 N 6 NE 6 NE 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2600 2700 2700 2900 2900 MIX HGT (M).....730 790 820 820 880 880 TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 NE 5 W 5 W 5 NE 1 SW 1 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 2 NE 2 W 2 W 2 NE 0 SW 0 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100619.DEEPW.01/LIX