FNUS74 KLIX 191117 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 617 AM CDT SAT JUN 19 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0600 CDT...FLAT PRES GRADIENT ACRS ENTIRE GLFMEX. 1018MB LOCALIZED HIGH CNTRD NR 28N/90W. WK 1016MB TROF ORIENTED E-W FM CHAND ISL TO NR KAQQ...STNRY. SCT TSTMS ASSOCD WITH TROF. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0600 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 88F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 78F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 78F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 78F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 97F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... 94F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 79F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER MISSISSIPPI CANYON... AT 534 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS...ABOUT 39 NM SOUTHEAST OF PILOTTOWN...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 KNOTS. THESE STORMS ARE WITHIN 13NM OF MS CANYON 252. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING WAS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO 33 KNOTS...LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES... AND LIGHTNING STRIKES. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY UNTIL THIS STORM PASSES. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE WATERSPOUTS WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING. SEEK SAFE HARBOR IF A WATERSPOUT IS SPOTTED. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 10Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... W 12KT 250FT... W 12KT 500FT... W 12KT 1KFT...WNW 10KT 2KFT... NW 11KT 3KFT... NW 5KT 4KFT...ESE 2KT 5KFT... SE 6KT MAX WIND...037/25KT 32.2KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3600FT...WARM LAPSE TO 5000FT...COND STABLE LAPSE TO 12.5KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. 3C DEP TO 900MB/3400...V-DRY TO 850MB/5300FT...CONV CURVES TO 1C DEP AT 600MB...V-DRY TO 500MB...5C DEP OR GRTR ABV. P.W. 1.89 IN. LI -8.0 SBCAPE 4574 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 045/2KT. 19/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SUN 06/20/10 SFC... E 8KT 250FT... E 8KT 500FT... E 8KT 1KFT... E 8KT 2KFT... E 9KT 3KFT...ENE 11KT 4KFT... NE 12KT 5KFT... NE 14KT MAX WIND...027/22KT 31.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 1C DEP AT 865MB/2100FT...V-DRY ABV 865MB/2100FT. P.W. 1.85". LI -2.9. SBCAPE 1164 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 073/9KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 191051Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 27/25 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP177 T02720250 TSNO $ METAR KGAO 191103Z AUTO 00000KT 7SM VCTS CLR 25/25 A3005 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E THRU SW METAR KHSA MISG METAR KIPN 191055Z AUTO 22005KT 10SM FEW023 SCT045 29/25 A3006 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 191055Z AUTO 00000KT 9SM FEW024 FEW031 BKN037 31/25 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 191055Z AUTO 26006KT 10SM SCT024 30/25 A3005 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 191055Z AUTO 28007KT 240V300 10SM SCT050 31/24 A3007 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 191055Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM BKN029 BKN037 BKN044 30/25 A3004 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT020-030. AFT 16Z VFR SCT035...SCT 2-3SM TSRA BKN025CB G40KT TOP 450 TIL 00Z. AFT 02Z...VFR CAVOK. AFT 09Z VFR SCT020...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR BKN020. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025-030...SCT TSRA BKN022CB G35KT TOP 400. KHUM 190532Z 1906/2006 VRB02KT P6SM SCT250 FM191000 00000KT P6SM SCT022 FM191300 28005KT P6SM SCT030 FM191700 21006KT P6SM SCT035 FM200100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW040 SCT250 KHSA 190532Z 1906/2006 00000KT P6SM BKN250 FM191000 00000KT P6SM SCT022 FM191300 28004KT P6SM SCT030 FM191700 21005KT P6SM SCT035 PROB30 1920/1923 3SM -TSRA SCT028CB BKN035 FM200100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW045 SCT080 BKN250 AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT N WND AM...LGT E WND PM. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0600 CDT...SCT STG TSTMS WITH FQT LGTNG XTNDD FM 43NM NE TO 30NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG SW 5KT. CLOSEST LGTNG...24NM NW OF SPILL LOCATION. ACTIVITY TO CONT INCG IN COVERG AND INTSTY THROUGH 0800CDT. WATERSPOUTS AND G30KT PSBL UNDER THESE CELLS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.34 FT AT 0530 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.37 FT AT 0640 CDT. WYCM6 1.65 FT AT 0537 CDT STEADY...HIGH TIDE 1.70 FT AT 0745 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88.0F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........45 45 45 45 45 45 61 61 61 61 61 61 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 84 85 85 86 87 88 88 88 88 88 88 RH..............72 72 71 72 72 70 68 66 66 66 66 64 HEAT INDEX (F)..91 93 94 95 95 96 98 99 100 100 100 99 20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.4 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N NE NE NE N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 7 7 7 5 5 5 3 3 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........B25............................................ SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........61 46 46 46 52 52 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............88 87 85 84 83 83 RH..............62 63 68 71 74 74 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 94 94 91 90 90 20 FT WIND......N 3 NW 2 W 2 W 2 W 3 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2700 2600 2600 2500 2400 MIX HGT (M).....820 820 790 790 760 730 TRANSPORT WIND..N 3 N 1 S 2 S 2 SW 5 W 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).N 1 N 0 S 1 S 1 SW 2 W 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........52 68 68 68 77 77 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 84 85 86 88 89 RH..............72 70 67 65 59 57 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 90 92 93 95 96 20 FT WIND......NW 2 NW 4 N 6 NE 6 NE 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2600 2700 2700 2900 2900 MIX HGT (M).....730 790 820 820 880 880 TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 NE 5 W 5 W 5 NE 1 SW 1 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 2 NE 2 W 2 W 2 NE 0 SW 0 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100619.DEEPW.02/LIX