FNUS74 KLIX 191209 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 709 AM CDT SAT JUN 19 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0700 CDT...FLAT PRES GRADIENT ACRS ENTIRE GLFMEX. 1019MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28N/90W. WK 1017MB TROF ORIENTED E-W FM CHAND ISL TO S OF KAQQ...STNRY. SCT-NMRS TSTMS ASSOCD WITH TROF. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1018MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0700 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 91F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 77F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 78F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 79F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 86F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... 97F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 87F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A * SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... LOWER VIOSKA KNOLL LEASE AREA * UNTIL 745 AM CDT * AT 639 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM...PRODUCING A WATERSPOUT OVER COASTAL WATERS ABOUT 58 NM EAST OF PILOTTOWN. THIS WATERSPOUT WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. * THIS WATERSPOUT WILL REMAIN ABOUT 32NM NE OF MS CANYON 252. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 10Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... W 12KT 250FT... W 12KT 500FT... W 12KT 1KFT...WNW 10KT 2KFT... NW 11KT 3KFT... NW 5KT 4KFT...ESE 2KT 5KFT... SE 6KT MAX WIND...037/25KT 32.2KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3600FT...WARM LAPSE TO 5000FT...COND STABLE LAPSE TO 12.5KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. 3C DEP TO 900MB/3400...V-DRY TO 850MB/5300FT...CONV CURVES TO 1C DEP AT 600MB...V-DRY TO 500MB...5C DEP OR GRTR ABV. P.W. 1.89 IN. LI -8.0 SBCAPE 4574 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 045/2KT. 19/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SUN 06/20/10 SFC... E 8KT 250FT... E 8KT 500FT... E 8KT 1KFT... E 8KT 2KFT... E 9KT 3KFT...ENE 11KT 4KFT... NE 12KT 5KFT... NE 14KT MAX WIND...027/22KT 31.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 1C DEP AT 865MB/2100FT...V-DRY ABV 865MB/2100FT. P.W. 1.85". LI -2.9. SBCAPE 1164 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 073/9KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 191151Z AUTO 32003KT 10SM FEW039 28/26 A3008 RMK AO2 SLP185 70001 T02780256 10283 20267 53022 TSNO $ METAR KGAO 191203Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT025 26/26 A3008 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E AND SE METAR KHSA 191151Z 00000KT 5SM BR CLR 24/24 A3006 METAR KIPN 191155Z AUTO 28005KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A3007 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 191155Z AUTO 20004KT 7SM FEW050 FEW060 SCT075 31/25 A3006 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 191155Z AUTO 24004KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A3006 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 191155Z AUTO VRB06KT 10SM BKN055 31/24 A3008 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 191155Z AUTO 23010G31KT 1SM HZ SCT003 BKN035 OVC060 28/21 A3006 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT020-030. AFT 16Z VFR SCT035...SCT 2-3SM TSRA BKN025CB G40KT TOP 450 TIL 00Z. AFT 02Z...VFR CAVOK. AFT 09Z VFR SCT020...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR BKN020. MARINE AREAS...MVFR SCT-BKN025-030 BKN100...SCT TSRA BKN022CB G35KT TOP 400. KHUM 191130Z 1912/2012 33005KT P6SM SCT030 FM191700 21006KT P6SM SCT035 TEMPO 1920/1923 3SM -TSRA SCT025CB BKN035 FM200100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW040 SCT250 FM200600 VRB04KT P6SM SCT250 KHSA 191130Z 1912/2012 VRB04KT P6SM SCT030 FM191700 21005KT P6SM SCT035 TEMPO 1920/1923 3SM -TSRA SCT028CB BKN035 FM200100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW045 SCT080 BKN250 FM200600 VRB04KT P6SM SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT N WND AM...LGT E WND PM. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0700 CDT...A LARGE AREA OF SCT-NMRS TSTMS XTNDD FM 50NM NE TO 85NM W TO 110NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION...GENL MOVMT SW 5KT. OCNL-FQT LGTNG...PSBL WATERSPOUTS THESE CELLS. CLOSEST CELL...21NM NE. CLOSEST LGTNG...30NM NE. NRLY SOLID LN OF TSTMS BTWN SPILL LOCATION AND MOUTH OF MS RVR....30NM NW OF SPILL SITE...15NM SE OF MS DELTA. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.37 FT AT 0630 CDT STEADY NR HIGH TIDE 1.37 FT AT 0640 CDT. WYCM6 1.60 FT AT 0637 CDT STEADY NR HIGH TIDE 1.70 FT AT 0745 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88.0F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........45 45 45 45 45 61 61 61 61 61 61 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 85 85 86 87 88 88 88 88 88 88 RH..............72 71 72 72 70 68 66 66 66 66 64 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 94 95 95 96 98 99 100 100 100 99 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NE NE NE N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 7 7 7 5 5 5 3 3 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........B22........................................ SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........61 46 46 46 52 52 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............88 87 85 84 83 83 RH..............62 63 68 71 74 74 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 94 94 91 90 90 20 FT WIND......N 3 NW 2 W 2 W 2 W 3 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2700 2600 2600 2500 2400 MIX HGT (M).....820 820 790 790 760 730 TRANSPORT WIND..N 3 N 1 S 2 S 2 SW 5 W 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).N 1 N 0 S 1 S 1 SW 2 W 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........52 68 68 68 77 77 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 84 85 86 88 89 RH..............72 70 67 65 59 57 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 90 92 93 95 96 20 FT WIND......NW 2 NW 4 N 6 NE 6 NE 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2600 2700 2700 2900 2900 MIX HGT (M).....730 790 820 820 880 880 TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 NE 5 W 5 W 5 NE 1 SW 1 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 2 NE 2 W 2 W 2 NE 0 SW 0 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100619.DEEPW.03/LIX