FNUS74 KLIX 191320 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 820 AM CDT SAT JUN 19 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0800 CDT...FLAT PRES GRADIENT ACRS ENTIRE GLFMEX. 1019MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28N/90W. WK 1017MB TROF ORIENTED E-W FM CHAND ISL TO S OF KAQQ...STNRY. SCT-NMRS TSTMS ASSOCD WITH TROF. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1018MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0800 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 98F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 84F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 92F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 89F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 82F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... 95F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 93F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WATERS EAST AND SOUTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER... ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A * SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... INCLUDING BARATARIA BAY... * UNTIL 830 AM CDT * AT 744 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER 11 NM SOUTHEAST OF BARATARIA BAY...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS. * THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT LOWER BARATARIA BAY AND EASTERN GRAND ISLE. * PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAINS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL THIS STORM PASSES. * THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE SUDDEN WATERSPOUTS. WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...WNW 11KT 250FT...WNW 12KT 500FT...WNW 12KT 1KFT...WNW 12KT 2KFT... NW 13KT 3KFT... NW 10KT 4KFT... NE 4KT 5KFT... SE 3KT MAX WIND...050/24KT 29.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3500FT...WARM LAPSE TO 5200FT...COND STABLE LAPSE TO 12.5KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 2C DEP AT 980MB/1100FT...V-DRY TO 850MB/5300FT...CONV CURVES TO 1C DEP AT 630MB...V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.97 IN. LI -8.0 SBCAPE 4330 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 038/4KT. 19/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SUN 06/20/10 SFC... E 8KT 250FT... E 8KT 500FT... E 8KT 1KFT... E 8KT 2KFT... E 9KT 3KFT...ENE 11KT 4KFT... NE 12KT 5KFT... NE 14KT MAX WIND...027/22KT 31.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 1C DEP AT 865MB/2100FT...V-DRY ABV 865MB/2100FT. P.W. 1.85". LI -2.9. SBCAPE 1164 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 073/9KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W SPECI KBVE 191311Z AUTO 22007KT 10SM SCT018 BKN026 BKN041 28/23 A3011 RMK AO2 TSNO $ METAR KGAO 191303Z AUTO 00000KT CLR 29/26 A3009 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E THRU S PWINO METAR KHSA 191251Z 00000KT 7SM CLR 27/25 A3009 METAR KIPN 191255Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM FEW029 31/24 A3008 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 191255Z AUTO 34005G11KT 10SM BKN049 BKN055 29/23 A3007 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 191255Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A3008 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 191255Z AUTO 30007KT 10SM CLR 31/24 A3009 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 191255Z AUTO 06008KT 2SM HZ FEW003 FEW031 FEW046 26/22 A3010 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT020-030. AFT 16Z VFR SCT035...SCT 2-3SM TSRA BKN025CB G40KT TOP 450 TIL 00Z. AFT 02Z...VFR CAVOK. AFT 09Z VFR SCT020...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR BKN020. MARINE AREAS...MVFR SCT-BKN025-030 BKN100...SCT TSRA BKN022CB G35KT TOP 400. KHUM 191130Z 1912/2012 33005KT P6SM SCT030 FM191700 21006KT P6SM SCT035 TEMPO 1920/1923 3SM -TSRA SCT025CB BKN035 FM200100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW040 SCT250 FM200600 VRB04KT P6SM SCT250 KHSA 191226Z 1912/2012 VRB04KT P6SM SCT030 TEMPO 1912/1914 5SM HZ FM191700 21005KT P6SM SCT035 TEMPO 1920/1923 3SM -TSRA SCT028CB BKN035 FM200100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW045 SCT080 BKN250 FM200600 VRB04KT P6SM SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT N WND AM...LGT E WND PM. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0800 CDT...A LARGE AREA OF STRONG TSTMS XTNDS FM NR MOUTH OF MS RVR TO NR SPILL LOCATION...MOVG SW 8KT. SVRL CELLS HAVE FQT LGTNG AND PSBL WATERSPOUTS. SVRL RPTS OF G33-39KT FM STORMS NR MS RVR DELTA. CLOSEST LGTNG...30NM W OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.24 FT AT 0800 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.74 FT AT 1600 CDT. WYCM6 1.57 FT AT 0755 CDT FALLING OFF HIGH TIDE. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86.9F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........45 45 45 45 61 61 61 61 61 61 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 85 86 87 88 88 88 88 88 88 RH..............71 72 72 70 68 66 66 66 66 64 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 95 95 96 98 99 100 100 100 99 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NE NE NE N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 7 7 5 5 5 3 3 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........B22..................................... SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........61 46 46 46 52 52 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............88 87 85 84 83 83 RH..............62 63 68 71 74 74 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 94 94 91 90 90 20 FT WIND......N 3 NW 2 W 2 W 2 W 3 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2700 2600 2600 2500 2400 MIX HGT (M).....820 820 790 790 760 730 TRANSPORT WIND..N 3 N 1 S 2 S 2 SW 5 W 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).N 1 N 0 S 1 S 1 SW 2 W 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........52 68 68 68 77 77 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 84 85 86 88 89 RH..............72 70 67 65 59 57 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 90 92 93 95 96 20 FT WIND......NW 2 NW 4 N 6 NE 6 NE 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2600 2700 2700 2900 2900 MIX HGT (M).....730 790 820 820 880 880 TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 NE 5 W 5 W 5 NE 1 SW 1 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 2 NE 2 W 2 W 2 NE 0 SW 0 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100619.DEEPW.04/LIX