FNUS74 KLIX 191411 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 911 AM CDT SAT JUN 19 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0900 CDT...FLAT PRES GRADIENT ACRS ENTIRE GLFMEX. 1020MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28N/90W. WK 1017MB TROF ORIENTED E-W FM CHAND ISL TO S OF KAQQ...STNRY. SCT-NMRS TSTMS ASSOCD WITH TROF. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1019MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0900 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 92F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/...104F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/...103F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 93F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 88F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...103F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 99F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WATERS EAST AND SOUTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER... .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...WNW 11KT 250FT...WNW 12KT 500FT...WNW 12KT 1KFT...WNW 12KT 2KFT... NW 13KT 3KFT... NW 10KT 4KFT... NE 4KT 5KFT... SE 3KT MAX WIND...050/24KT 29.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3500FT...WARM LAPSE TO 5200FT...COND STABLE LAPSE TO 12.5KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 2C DEP AT 980MB/1100FT...V-DRY TO 850MB/5300FT...CONV CURVES TO 1C DEP AT 630MB...V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.97 IN. LI -8.0 SBCAPE 4330 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 038/4KT. 19/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SUN 06/20/10 SFC... E 8KT 250FT... E 8KT 500FT... E 8KT 1KFT... E 8KT 2KFT... E 9KT 3KFT...ENE 11KT 4KFT... NE 12KT 5KFT... NE 14KT MAX WIND...027/22KT 31.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 1C DEP AT 865MB/2100FT...V-DRY ABV 865MB/2100FT. P.W. 1.85". LI -2.9. SBCAPE 1164 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 073/9KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 191351Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM FEW024 SCT045 BKN075 29/24 A3010 RMK AO2 SLP193 T02890239 TSNO $ METAR KGAO 191403Z AUTO 33003KT VCTS SCT025 SCT030 31/26 A3010 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE S AND SW METAR KHSA 191352Z 30003KT 10SM CLR 29/26 A3009 METAR KIPN 191355Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM CLR 32/25 A3011 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 191350Z AUTO 23007G13KT 5SM HZ FEW019 BKN040 OVC075 30/22 A3010 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 191340Z AUTO 27004KT 10SM 30/25 A3009 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 191340Z AUTO 31007KT 10SM CLR 31/24 A3012 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 191355Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3009 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT020-030. AFT 16Z VFR SCT035...SCT 2-3SM TSRA BKN025CB G40KT TOP 450 TIL 00Z. AFT 02Z...VFR CAVOK. AFT 09Z VFR SCT020...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR BKN020. MARINE AREAS...MVFR SCT-BKN025-030 BKN100...SCT TSRA BKN022CB G35KT TOP 400. KHUM 191130Z 1912/2012 33005KT P6SM SCT030 FM191700 21006KT P6SM SCT035 TEMPO 1920/1923 3SM -TSRA SCT025CB BKN035 FM200100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW040 SCT250 FM200600 VRB04KT P6SM SCT250 KHSA 191226Z 1912/2012 VRB04KT P6SM SCT030 TEMPO 1912/1914 5SM HZ FM191700 21005KT P6SM SCT035 TEMPO 1920/1923 3SM -TSRA SCT028CB BKN035 FM200100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW045 SCT080 BKN250 FM200600 VRB04KT P6SM SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT N WND AM...LGT E WND PM. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0900 CDT...A LARGE AREA OF STG TSTMS XTNDD FM BARATARIA BAY TO 6NM S OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG SW 8KT. SVRL CELLS HAVE FQT LGTNG AND PSBL WATERSPOUTS. G33-39KT ALSO XPCTD THESE CELLS. CLOSEST LGTNG...19NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.14 FT AT 0837 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.74 FT AT 1600 CDT. WYCM6 1.52 FT AT 0854 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.96 FT AT 2000 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 87.1F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........45 45 45 61 61 61 61 61 61 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 86 87 88 88 88 88 88 88 RH..............72 72 70 68 66 66 66 66 64 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 95 96 98 99 100 100 100 99 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE NE NE N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 5 5 5 3 3 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........61 46 46 46 52 52 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............88 87 85 84 83 83 RH..............62 63 68 71 74 74 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 94 94 91 90 90 20 FT WIND......N 3 NW 2 W 2 W 2 W 3 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2700 2600 2600 2500 2400 MIX HGT (M).....820 820 790 790 760 730 TRANSPORT WIND..N 3 N 1 S 2 S 2 SW 5 W 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).N 1 N 0 S 1 S 1 SW 2 W 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........52 68 68 68 77 77 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 84 85 86 88 89 RH..............72 70 67 65 59 57 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 90 92 93 95 96 20 FT WIND......NW 2 NW 4 N 6 NE 6 NE 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2600 2700 2700 2900 2900 MIX HGT (M).....730 790 820 820 880 880 TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 NE 5 W 5 W 5 NE 1 SW 1 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 2 NE 2 W 2 W 2 NE 0 SW 0 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100619.DEEPW.05/LIX