FNUS74 KLIX 191615 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1115 AM CDT SAT JUN 19 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1100 CDT...FLAT PRES GRADIENT ACRS ENTIRE GLFMEX. 1020MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28N/90W. WK 1018MB TROF ORIENTED E-W FM CHAND ISL TO S OF KAQQ...STNRY. SCT TSTMS ASSOCD WITH TROF NR MOUTH OF MS RVR. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1019MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1100 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 99F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/...103F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 85F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/...103F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 93F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...100F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/...106F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 15Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...WNW 8KT 250FT... NW 8KT 500FT... NW 9KT 1KFT... NW 8KT 2KFT... NW 8KT 3KFT... NW 6KT 4KFT...NNE 4KT 5KFT...ENE 3KT MAX WIND...032/21KT 27.0KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3700FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 5600FT...DRY LAPSE TO 12.0KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 3C DEP AT 940MB/2400FT...V-DRY TO 800MB/7000FT...CONV CURVES TO SATURATION AT 650MB...MOIST ABV. P.W. 2.25 IN. LI -5.9 SBCAPE 2745 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 046/4KT. 19/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SUN 06/20/10 SFC... E 8KT 250FT... E 8KT 500FT... E 8KT 1KFT... E 8KT 2KFT... E 9KT 3KFT...ENE 11KT 4KFT... NE 12KT 5KFT... NE 14KT MAX WIND...027/22KT 31.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 1C DEP AT 865MB/2100FT...V-DRY ABV 865MB/2100FT. P.W. 1.85". LI -2.9. SBCAPE 1164 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 073/9KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 191551Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM CLR 32/24 A3011 RMK AO2 SLP196 T03170239 TSNO $ METAR KGAO 191603Z AUTO 14010G15KT 10SM TS BKN024 BKN029 BKN043 27/23 A3012 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE THRU S METAR KHSA 191555Z 33003KT 10SM SCT040 32/26 A3009 METAR KIPN 191555Z AUTO 29005KT 10SM CLR 32/24 A3011 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 191440Z AUTO A3010 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 191555Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM 32/25 A3012 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 191555Z AUTO VRB05KT 10SM BKN024 BKN030 30/24 A3013 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 191555Z AUTO 01003KT 10SM FEW050 SCT055 30/23 A3011 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT035...SCT 2-3SM TSRA BKN025CB G40KT TOP 450 TIL 00Z. AFT 02Z...VFR CAVOK. AFT 09Z VFR SCT020...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR BKN020. MARINE AREAS...MVFR SCT-BKN025-030 BKN100...SCT TSRA BKN022CB G35KT TOP 400. KHUM 191130Z 1912/2012 33005KT P6SM SCT030 FM191700 21006KT P6SM SCT035 TEMPO 1920/1923 3SM -TSRA SCT025CB BKN035 FM200100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW040 SCT250 FM200600 VRB04KT P6SM SCT250 KHSA 191226Z 1912/2012 VRB04KT P6SM SCT030 TEMPO 1912/1914 5SM HZ FM191700 21005KT P6SM SCT035 TEMPO 1920/1923 3SM -TSRA SCT028CB BKN035 FM200100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW045 SCT080 BKN250 FM200600 VRB04KT P6SM SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT N WND AM...LGT E WND PM. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 1100 CDT...A LARGE AREA OF STG TSTMS WAS MOVG NW 6KT INTO THE N-CNTRL GLFMEX...GENLY BYD 50NM W OF SPILL LOCATION. ISOLD TSTM 22NM E OF SPILL LOCATION WKNG WHILE MOVG SW 6KT. OCNL LGTNG THIS CELL. CLOSEST LGTNG...60NM NW NR CHAND ISLS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.96 FT AT 1054 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.74 FT AT 1600 CDT. WYCM6 1.34 FT AT 1054 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.96 FT AT 2000 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 89.1F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........45 61 61 61 61 61 61 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............87 88 88 88 88 88 88 RH..............70 68 66 66 66 66 64 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 98 99 100 100 100 99 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 2 2 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 5 5 5 3 3 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 2 2 2 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........B22........................ SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........61 46 46 46 52 52 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............88 87 85 84 83 83 RH..............62 63 68 71 74 74 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 94 94 91 90 90 20 FT WIND......N 3 NW 2 W 2 W 2 W 3 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2700 2600 2600 2500 2400 MIX HGT (M).....820 820 790 790 760 730 TRANSPORT WIND..N 3 N 1 S 2 S 2 SW 5 W 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).N 1 N 0 S 1 S 1 SW 2 W 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........52 68 68 68 77 77 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 84 85 86 88 89 RH..............72 70 67 65 59 57 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 90 92 93 95 96 20 FT WIND......NW 2 NW 4 N 6 NE 6 NE 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2600 2700 2700 2900 2900 MIX HGT (M).....730 790 820 820 880 880 TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 NE 5 W 5 W 5 NE 1 SW 1 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 2 NE 2 W 2 W 2 NE 0 SW 0 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100619.DEEPW.07/LIX