FNUS75 KPUB 201032
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEDANO...USNPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
432 AM MDT SUN JUN 20 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PATTERN ACROSS THE BURN SITE.  RED FLAG CONDITIONS
WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AS HOT AND DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW
CONTINUES.  PROLONGED PERIODS OF SINGLE DIGIT RHS ARE EXPECTED DURING
THE DAY...WITH POOR RECOVERY AT NIGHT.  SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE
PERSISTENT THROUGH THE DAY ONCE INVERSIONS BREAK.  DRY AIR AND
STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL KEEP HAINES VALUES AROUND 6...WHICH MEANS
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BE FAVORABLE FOR LARGE PLUME DEVELOPMENT
ONCE MIXING GETS UNDERWAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82F.
MIN HUMIDITY........4-9 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 12-17 MPH.  GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH AFTER 1100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 0700...INCREASING TO 17000 FT
                    AGL AFTER 0800.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 27 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 0900.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51F.
MAX HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    UNTIL 2100...THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 0500.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    12-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 14000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 29 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100619.MEDAN.02/PUB