FNUS74 KLIX 201008 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 508 AM CDT SUN JUN 20 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0500 CDT...FLAT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE GULF. 1017MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28N/90W. WK 1015MB TROF FM CHAND ISL SE TO NR 27N/87W. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1016MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0500 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 91F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 77F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 77F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 73F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/...105F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... 95F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 76F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULS SVR PSBL...5% CHC DMG WNDS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MONDAY... .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 08Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... NW 9KT 250FT... NW 9KT 500FT... NW 8KT 1KFT... NW 8KT 2KFT... NE 8KT 3KFT...ENE 6KT 4KFT... SE 8KT 5KFT... SE 13KT MAX WIND...038/20KT 42.7KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 5000FT...INVERSION 6100 FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 5C DEP AT 995MB/600FT...V-DRY TO 800MB...CONV CURVES AT 550MB...2C DEP ABV 550MB/17.0KFT. P.W. 1.48 IN. LI -8.1 SBCAPE 4688 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 073/4KT. 20/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z MON 06/21/10 SFC... NE 9KT 250FT...ENE 9KT 500FT... NE 10KT 1KFT... NE 10KT 2KFT... NE 10KT 3KFT... E 12KT 4KFT... E 12KT 5KFT... E 13KT MAX WIND...066/20KT 7.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1900FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 2900FT...COND STABLE TO 16.1KFT...WARM LAPSE TO 18.2KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 3C DEP SFC TO 950MB/1900FT...V-DRY TO 775MB/7600FT...CONV CURVES TO 4C DEP AT 680MB...4C DEP OR GRTR ABV. P.W. 1.89 IN. LI -2.0. SBCAPE 1030 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 095/10KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 200951Z AUTO 34003KT 7SM FEW022 SCT030 28/26 A3002 RMK AO2 SLP164 T02780256 TSNO METAR KGAO 201003Z AUTO 00000KT 1 1/4SM BR VV007 25/24 A3002 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 200055Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 24/24 A3004 METAR KIPN 200955Z AUTO 28005KT 10SM SCT021 30/25 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 200955Z AUTO 32004KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 200955Z AUTO 27007KT 10SM CLR 30/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 200955Z AUTO 29005KT 10SM FEW024 30/25 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 200955Z AUTO 24004KT 10SM CLR 32/26 A3000 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW080. AFT 16Z...VFR SCT035 BKN080 ISOLD 2SM TSRA BKN025CB G35KT TOP 450 TIL 00Z. AFT 02Z VFR CAVOK... LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR BKN020 BTWN 09Z-14Z. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030 BKN100. S OF 29N/E OF 90W...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN020CB G30KT TOP 400. KHUM 200530Z 2006/2106 VRB03KT P6SM SCT035 SCT090 BKN250 FM201000 00000KT P6SM FEW020 FM201300 VRB04KT P6SM FEW030 FM201800 VRB05KT P6SM SCT040 SCT250 FM210100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW045 SCT250 KHSA 200530Z 2006/2106 00000KT P6SM SCT090 BKN250 FM201000 27002KT 6SM BR FEW020 SCT250 FM201400 VRB04KT P6SM FEW030 FM201800 19005KT P6SM SCT035 SCT250 FM210100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW040 SCT250 AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR BKN025. ISOLD TSRA. LGT E WND. .RADAR... AT 0500 CDT...AN AREA OF TSTMS DETECTED 40NM-150NM NE OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG S 5KT. OCNL-FQT LTGNG THESE CELLS. AREA MAY XPND WWD TO IMPACT SPILL LOCATION BY 0900 CDT...BUT MAY STAY JUST E OF OPS AREA. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.30 FT AT 0434 CDT RISING NR HIGH TIDE 1.38 FT AT 0458 CDT. WYCM6 1.91 FT AT 0436 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.06 FT AT 0630 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86.9F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........52 58 58 58 58 58 58 64 64 64 64 64 64 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 84 85 86 87 87 87 88 88 89 89 89 89 RH..............74 74 74 72 70 70 70 70 68 68 66 66 66 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 94 94 95 98 98 98 99 99 100 100 100 99 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NW N N N N N NE NE NE NE E SE 20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.E NW NW NW N N N NE NE NE E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.3 7 7 7 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 7 7 TRANS SPD (M/S).1 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........S22 S22 S25 B20 B20 S22 S22 S80 >80 >80 >80 >80 >80 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........64 41 41 41 39 39 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............88 87 86 85 84 83 RH..............66 65 70 72 74 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..98 95 95 94 92 90 20 FT WIND......SE 4 S 4 SW 4 W 5 W 6 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 2900 2800 2800 2700 2700 MIX HGT (M).....1010 880 850 850 820 820 TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 SE 3 S 3 S 3 SW 5 N 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 3 SE 1 S 1 S 1 SW 2 N 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........39 59 59 59 68 68 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 83 85 86 87 87 RH..............79 77 72 70 65 65 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 90 94 95 95 97 20 FT WIND......NE 5 E 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2700 3400 3400 4100 4100 MIX HGT (M).....820 820 1040 1040 1250 1250 TRANSPORT WIND..N 5 E 6 SE 8 SE 8 S 10 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).N 2 E 3 SE 4 SE 4 S 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC SM SM SM SM SM .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100620.DEEPW.01/LIX