FNUS74 KLIX 201206 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 706 AM CDT SUN JUN 20 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0700 CDT...FLAT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE GULF. 1018MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28N/90W. WK 1016MB TROF FM CHAND ISL SE TO NR 27N/85W...NRLY STNRY. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1017MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0700 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 89F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 77F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 78F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 76F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 88F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...100F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 77F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULS SVR PSBL...5% CHC DMG WNDS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MONDAY... .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... NW 10KT 250FT... NW 10KT 500FT... NW 10KT 1KFT... NW 9KT 2KFT... N 8KT 3KFT... N 3KT 4KFT... E 4KT 5KFT... E 10KT MAX WIND...357/20KT 19.0KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3300FT...INVERSION 5100 FT...COND STABLE LAPSE TO 12.4KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. V-DRY TO 850MB...CONV CURVES AT 600MB...2C DEP ABV 550MB/17.0KFT. P.W. 1.63 IN. LI -6.5 SBCAPE 3766 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 063/5KT. 20/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z MON 06/21/10 SFC... NE 9KT 250FT...ENE 9KT 500FT... NE 10KT 1KFT... NE 10KT 2KFT... NE 10KT 3KFT... E 12KT 4KFT... E 12KT 5KFT... E 13KT MAX WIND...066/20KT 7.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1900FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 2900FT...COND STABLE TO 16.1KFT...WARM LAPSE TO 18.2KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 3C DEP SFC TO 950MB/1900FT...V-DRY TO 775MB/7600FT...CONV CURVES TO 4C DEP AT 680MB...4C DEP OR GRTR ABV. P.W. 1.89 IN. LI -2.0. SBCAPE 1030 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 095/10KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 201151Z AUTO 00000KT 3SM BR FEW022 27/26 A3004 RMK AO2 SLP171 T02720256 10283 20261 53010 TSNO METAR KGAO 201143Z AUTO 35004KT 1 3/4SM BR VV007 25/25 A3004 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 201155Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 23/23 A3004 METAR KIPN 201155Z AUTO 30005KT 10SM CLR 32/24 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 201155Z AUTO 34005KT 10SM CLR 30/24 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 201155Z AUTO 29007KT 10SM CLR 30/24 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 201155Z AUTO 32005KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 201155Z AUTO 17007KT 3SM HZ FEW003 SCT030 BKN060 28/23 A3002 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW080. AFT 16Z...VFR SCT035 BKN080 ISOLD 2SM TSRA BKN025CB G35KT TOP 450 TIL 00Z. AFT 02Z VFR CAVOK... LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR BKN020 BTWN 09Z-14Z. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030 BKN100. S OF 29N/E OF 90W...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN020CB G30KT TOP 400. KHUM 201131Z 2012/2112 00000KT 6SM BR FEW020 TEMPO 2012/2014 5SM BR FM201400 VRB04KT P6SM FEW030 FM201800 VRB05KT P6SM SCT040CB SCT250 FM210100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW045 SCT250 FM210400 VRB02KT P6SM BKN250 KHSA 201131Z 2012/2112 27002KT 6SM BR FEW020 SCT250 FM201400 VRB04KT P6SM FEW030 FM201800 19005KT P6SM SCT035CB SCT250 FM210100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW040 SCT250 FM210400 VRB02KT P6SM BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR BKN025. ISOLD TSRA. LGT E WND. .RADAR... AT 0700 CDT...AN AREA OF SHWRS AND TSTMS 26-150NM E OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG S 12KT. WKNG TREND WRN PTN OF AREA. CLUSTER OF TSTMS INTENSIFYING 60-70NM NNW OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG S 9KT. OCNL LGTNG AND G25KT THESE CELLS. ISOLD SHWRS 25NM S AND 22NM W...MOVG S 10KT AND WKNG. CLOSEST LGTNG...65NM NNW...TO THE E OF CHAND ISL. WATERSPOUTS PSBL UNDER DEVLPG SHWRS TIL 0900 CDT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.37 FT AT 0638 CDT STEADY AT HIGH TIDE. WYCM6 1.85 FT AT 0647 CDT FALLING OFF HIGH TIDE. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 87.6F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........58 58 58 58 58 64 64 64 64 64 64 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 86 87 87 87 88 88 89 89 89 89 RH..............74 72 70 70 70 70 68 68 66 66 66 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 95 98 98 98 99 99 100 100 100 99 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NE NE NE NE E SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.6 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N N NE NE NE E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 7 7 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 CEILINGS........B22 B22 B25 S25 >80 >80 >80 >80 >80 >80 >80 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........64 41 41 41 39 39 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............88 87 86 85 84 83 RH..............66 65 70 72 74 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..98 95 95 94 92 90 20 FT WIND......SE 4 S 4 SW 4 W 5 W 6 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 2900 2800 2800 2700 2700 MIX HGT (M).....1010 880 850 850 820 820 TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 SE 3 S 3 S 3 SW 5 N 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 3 SE 1 S 1 S 1 SW 2 N 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........39 59 59 59 68 68 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 83 85 86 87 87 RH..............79 77 72 70 65 65 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 90 94 95 95 97 20 FT WIND......NE 5 E 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2700 3400 3400 4100 4100 MIX HGT (M).....820 820 1040 1040 1250 1250 TRANSPORT WIND..N 5 E 6 SE 8 SE 8 S 10 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).N 2 E 3 SE 4 SE 4 S 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC SM SM SM SM SM .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100620.DEEPW.03/LIX