FNUS74 KLIX 201513 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1013 AM CDT SUN JUN 20 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1000 CDT...FLAT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE N GLFMEX. 1018MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28.5N/90.5W. WK 1017MB TROF FM SE LA TO NE GLFMEX NRLY NRLY STNRY. 1020MB HIGH OVR SRN AL BLDG SWD INTO N-CNTRL GLFMEX. DRIER AIR ASSOCD WITH THIS HIGH. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1017MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1000 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/...100F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 89F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 99F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 88F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 98F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...102F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 91F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULS SVR PSBL...5% CHC DMGG WNDS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MONDAY... .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 13Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... N 10KT 250FT... N 9KT 500FT... N 9KT 1KFT... N 8KT 2KFT...NNE 8KT 3KFT... NE 6KT 4KFT... NE 5KT 5KFT... NE 8KT MAX WIND...004/17KT 19.4KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3500FT...WARM LAPSE TO 5200FT...COND STABLE LAPSE TO 19.2KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. V-DRY TO 850MB...CONV CURVES AT 550MB...1C DEP ABV 550MB/17.0KFT. P.W. 1.77 IN. LI -5.4 SBCAPE 2785 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 057/5KT. 20/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z MON 06/21/10 SFC... NE 9KT 250FT...ENE 9KT 500FT... NE 10KT 1KFT... NE 10KT 2KFT... NE 10KT 3KFT... E 12KT 4KFT... E 12KT 5KFT... E 13KT MAX WIND...066/20KT 7.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1900FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 2900FT...COND STABLE TO 16.1KFT...WARM LAPSE TO 18.2KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 3C DEP SFC TO 950MB/1900FT...V-DRY TO 775MB/7600FT...CONV CURVES TO 4C DEP AT 680MB...4C DEP OR GRTR ABV. P.W. 1.89 IN. LI -2.0. SBCAPE 1030 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 095/10KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 201451Z AUTO 07006KT 8SM CLR 31/25 A3005 RMK AO2 SLP176 T03060250 50005 TSNO METAR KGAO 201503Z AUTO 01004KT SCT016 31/25 A3005 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 201155Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 23/23 A3004 METAR KIPN 201455Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM CLR 33/24 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 201455Z AUTO 01007KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 201455Z AUTO 32006KT 10SM CLR 31/25 A3005 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 201455Z AUTO 01008KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A3006 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 201455Z AUTO 01008KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A3004 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW080. AFT 19Z...VFR SCT035 BKN080 ISOLD 2SM TSRA BKN025CB G35KT TOP 450 TIL 00Z. AFT 02Z VFR CAVOK... LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR BKN020 BTWN 09Z-14Z. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030 BKN100. S OF 28N/E OF 90W...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN020CB G30KT TOP 400. KHUM 201131Z 2012/2112 00000KT 6SM BR FEW020 TEMPO 2012/2014 5SM BR FM201400 VRB04KT P6SM FEW030 FM201800 VRB05KT P6SM SCT040CB SCT250 FM210100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW045 SCT250 FM210400 VRB02KT P6SM BKN250 KHSA 201131Z 2012/2112 27002KT 6SM BR FEW020 SCT250 FM201400 VRB04KT P6SM FEW030 FM201800 19005KT P6SM SCT035CB SCT250 FM210100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW040 SCT250 FM210400 VRB02KT P6SM BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR BKN025. ISOLD TSRA. LGT E WND. .RADAR... AT 1000 CDT...CLUSTER OF TSTMS FM 20NM SW-15NM S-35NM SE OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG S 15KT. OCNL-FQT LGTNG THESE CELLS. NEWLY FORMED SHWRS 13NM N OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG S 15KT. NO LTGNG ATTM BUT MAY DEVLP FEW LGTNG BY 1100 CDT NR SPILL LOCATION. G25KT AND MDT RAFL THESE CELLS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.07 FT AT 0938 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.31 FT AT 1500 CDT. WYCM6 1.50 FT AT 0938 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.60 FT AT 1630 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88.3F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........58 58 64 64 64 64 64 64 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............87 87 88 88 89 89 89 89 RH..............70 70 70 68 68 66 66 66 HEAT INDEX (F)..98 98 99 99 100 100 100 99 20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE NE E SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.9 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE NE E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 9 9 7 7 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 CEILINGS........B22 B25 S25 B80 >80 >80 >80 >80 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........64 41 41 41 39 39 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............88 87 86 85 84 83 RH..............66 65 70 72 74 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..98 95 95 94 92 90 20 FT WIND......SE 4 S 4 SW 4 W 5 W 6 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 2900 2800 2800 2700 2700 MIX HGT (M).....1010 880 850 850 820 820 TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 SE 3 S 3 S 3 SW 5 N 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 3 SE 1 S 1 S 1 SW 2 N 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........39 59 59 59 68 68 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 83 85 86 87 87 RH..............79 77 72 70 65 65 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 90 94 95 95 97 20 FT WIND......NE 5 E 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2700 3400 3400 4100 4100 MIX HGT (M).....820 820 1040 1040 1250 1250 TRANSPORT WIND..N 5 E 6 SE 8 SE 8 S 10 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).N 2 E 3 SE 4 SE 4 S 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC SM SM SM SM SM .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100620.DEEPW.06/LIX