FNUS74 KLIX 201810 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR HOPEDALE...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 110 PM CDT SUN JUN 20 2010 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT MONDAY... AT 1300 CDT...FLAT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE N GLFMEX. 1019MB HIGH CNTRD NR 26N/90W. BROAD WK 1017MB TROF ALG THE N GLFMEX AND XTNDG FM A LARGER TROF ACRS THE ATLC STATES. STG TSTMS MAY DEVLP ALG THIS TROF THIS AFTN/EVE AND BEC A SQLN IN THE N GLFMEX OVRNGT. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1017MB. A FEW LATEST NUMERICAL MODELS ARE INDICATING A POSSIBILITY OF A STRONG TO SEVERE SQUALL LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH THE SPILL OPERATIONS AREA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE AREA OF CONCERN WOULD BE THUNDERTORMS THAT DEVELOP OVER SW GEORGIA AND NORTH FLORIDA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THAT ORGANIZES AND MOVES SOUTHWEST THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...REACHING THE SPILL LOCATION AROUND DAYBREAK MONDAY. SHOULD THIS SCENARIO DEVELOP...SQUALL GUSTS 40-45 KT...LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL CAN RESULT FOR AN HOUR DURING THE PASSAGE OF THIS SQUALL LINE. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1200 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/...103F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/...102F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/...108F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/...101F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/...100F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... 95F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 99F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULS SVR PSBL...5% CHC DMGG WNDS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MONDAY... .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KNEW - NEW ORLEANS LAKEFRONT AIRPORT ASOS ...KASD - SLIDELL LA ASOS METAR KNEW 201753Z 03009KT 10SM SCT035 32/25 A3005 RMK AO2 SLP167 T03220250 10322 20272 58006 METAR KASD 201753Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 33/23 A3003 RMK AO2 SLP170 T03280233 10333 20239 58007 METAR KBVE 201751Z AUTO 05006KT 9SM CLR 32/25 A3004 RMK AO2 SLP172 T03170250 10322 20272 58004 TSNO *************************************************************** VALID ALONG ERN LA COAST WITHIN BRETON AND CHANDELEUR SOUNDS. REFERENCE DISTANCES ARE FROM LAKE ELOI LA. *************************************************************** .RADAR... AT 1300 CDT...NO ECHOES DETECTED WITHIN OR NR THE LA SNDS. ISOLD SHWR 41NM SE OF LK ELOI...MOVG SW 10KT. NO LGTNG ATTM THIS CELL. NO LGTNG WITHIN 100NM OF LK ELOI. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.75 FT AT 1249 CDT STEADY...LOW TIDE 0.31 FT AT 1500 CDT. GRPL1 1.25 FT AT 1223 CDT FALLING. CHANDELEUR LIGHT HOUSE (MLLW FT...ASTRONOMICAL NO WEATHER INFLUENCES) 06/20/2010 SUN 05:53PM LDT 0.0 L 06/21/2010 MON 07:14AM LDT 1.3 H 06:29PM LDT -0.2 L 06/22/2010 TUE 07:47AM LDT 1.5 H 07:10PM LDT -0.4 L 06/23/2010 WED 08:27AM LDT 1.6 H 07:52PM LDT -0.5 L 06/24/2010 THU 09:09AM LDT 1.6 H 08:33PM LDT -0.5 L .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............92 92 92 92 92 RH..............61 60 60 60 62 HEAT INDEX (F)..109 107 107 107 105 20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........50 29 29 29 29 29 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............90 88 85 83 82 81 RH..............62 69 76 80 86 89 HEAT INDEX (F)..103 100 98 94 92 90 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 5 SW 5 SW 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM LC LC LC LC LC .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........29 37 37 37 44 44 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 82 87 89 90 90 RH..............89 81 71 65 62 61 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 91 99 102 102 102 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 S 6 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC SM LC $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100620.HOPED.10/LIX