FNUS75 KPUB 202041
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEDANO...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
241 PM MDT SUN JUN 20 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER JET WILL REMAIN POSITIONED ACROSS THE AREA BRINGING
REPEAT ROUNDS OF GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY VALUES...AND
HIGH HAINES AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  POOR HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH RED FLAG CONDITIONS
RETURNING BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AS SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE
AND GUST UP TO 35 MPH BY AFTERNOON.  SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AGAIN ON TUESDAY AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE AREA.

A COLD FRONT IS PROJECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS
ON WEDNESDAY AND MAY BE DEEP ENOUGH TO BRING SOME HUMIDITY
RECOVERY INTO THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF MEDANO BURN AREA WED
AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50F.
MAX HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    35 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL
                    AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2200.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82F...EXCEPT 72-76F ABOVE 9000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...JESSE DUHNKRACK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100620.MEDAN.02/PUB