FNUS74 KLIX 211211 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 711 AM CDT MON JUN 21 2010 AT 0700 CDT...1015MB TROF OF LOW PRES INDICATED FM UPR CHAND ISLS...28N/87W...ALG 87W BLO 28N...MOVG W 5KT. 1016MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28N/90W. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1015MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0700 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 90F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 84F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 78F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 83F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 97F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... 92F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 89F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM TODAY... ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A * SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... CHANDELEUR SOUND OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... * UNTIL 815 AM CDT * AT 637 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER OVER COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20 NM...OR ABOUT 13 NM EAST OF CHANDELEUR SOUND...MOVING SOUTH AT 5 KNOTS. WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE UNDER THIS STORM. * THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR OVER AND NEAR MIDDLE CHANDELEUR ISLANDS THROUGH 815 AM CDT. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 10Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... NW 5KT 250FT... NW 5KT 500FT... NW 6KT 1KFT... NW 7KT 2KFT... E 6KT 3KFT...ENE 17KT 4KFT...ENE 22KT 5KFT...ENE 25KT MAX WIND...075/25KT 5000FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 4400FT...WARM LAPSE 6900FT...COND STABLE LAPSE TO 16.9KFT...WARM LAPSE TO 22.1KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. V-DRY SFC TO 950MB/2000FT...CONV CURVES TO 4C DEP AT 850MB/5000FT... V-DRY TO 800MB...CONV CURVES TO 6C DEP AT 650MB...V-DRY ABV. DRY MICROBURST PROFILE. P.W. 1.70 IN. LI -6.5 SBCAPE 3168 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 084/8KT. 21/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z TUE 06/22/10 SFC... SE 14KT 250FT... SE 14KT 500FT... SE 15KT 1KFT... SE 16KT 2KFT... SE 16KT 3KFT... SE 16KT 4KFT... SE 16KT 5KFT... SE 18KT MAX WIND...053/40KT 40.7KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3200FT...PSEUDO ABV. INV-V TO 3C DEP SFC TO 925MB/2800FT...V 4C DEP AT 870MB/4600FT TO 600MB...CONV CURVES TO SATURATION AT 500MB...V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.90 IN. LI N/A. SBCAPE N/A J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 167/07KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 211151Z AUTO 33004KT 7SM CLR 28/25 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP161 T02780250 10278 20261 53010 TSNO METAR KGAO 211203Z AUTO 28003KT 4SM BR CLR 26/25 A3000 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 211150Z 00000KT 7SM CLR 25/25 A3000 METAR KIPN 211155Z AUTO 00000KT FEW023 29/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 211155Z AUTO 03004KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 211155Z AUTO 28004KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 211155Z AUTO 32004KT 10SM SCT023 30/25 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 211155Z AUTO 31006KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A2999 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT020-028...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN015CB G30KT TOP 450. AFT 02Z...VFR CAVOK...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR BKN020 BTWN 08Z-12Z. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025 BKN100...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN020CB G30KT TOP 400 BTWN 12Z-21Z. AFT 00Z...VFR SCT030. KHUM 211131Z 2112/2212 VRB03KT P6SM FEW050 TEMPO 2112/2114 5SM HZ FM212100 11005KT P6SM SCT050CB FM220200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM221000 VRB03KT 5SM HZ SCT250 KHSA 211131Z 2112/2212 VRB04KT P6SM SCT050 FM211500 04004KT P6SM FEW035 FM212100 16004KT P6SM SCT050CB FM220200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030. SCT TSRA. LGT E WND. .RADAR... AT 0700 CDT...NO ECHOES WITHIN 70NM OF SPILL LOCATION. UNSETTLED AIRMASS OVR OPS AREA MAY ALLLOW SCT SHWRS/TSTMS TO DEVLP VCNTY SPILL LOCATION BTWN 0800-1000 CDT. SCT SHWR/ISOLD TSTMS DETECTED 70-117NM E OF SPILL LOCTATION...AREAL MOVMT W 8KT. STG/SVR TSTM OVR MID CHAND ISLS...76NM NNW...MOVG S 5KT. G35KT AND PSBL WSPT THIS CELL. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.79 FT AT 0637 CDT STEADY NR HIGH TIDE. WYCM6 1.89 FT AT 0638 CDT STEADY AT HIGH TIDE. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 89.1F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........37 37 37 37 37 68 68 68 68 68 68 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............82 83 84 86 87 88 88 88 88 87 87 RH..............79 79 75 73 69 63 63 66 68 68 65 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 90 91 94 94 97 97 98 98 96 95 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.7 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 CEILINGS........B22 B22 B25 S25 S25 B25 B25 B25 B25 B25 B25 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........68 45 45 45 46 46 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............87 85 84 83 83 83 RH..............63 66 70 71 71 71 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 93 90 90 90 90 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....4100 3700 3200 3200 2600 2600 MIX HGT (M).....1250 1130 980 980 790 790 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 E 7 SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 3 E 3 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM SM LC .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........46 73 73 73 78 78 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 83 82 86 86 86 RH..............71 71 74 65 65 65 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 87 93 93 93 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 3000 3200 3200 3800 3800 MIX HGT (M).....790 910 980 980 1160 1160 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 10 S 12 S 12 S 13 SE 12 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 4 S 5 S 5 S 6 SE 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............1 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100621.DEEPW.03/LIX