FNUS74 KLIX 211407 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 907 AM CDT MON JUN 21 2010 AT 0900 CDT...1016MB TROF OF LOW PRES FM UPR CHAND ISLS TO ELY WAVE ALG 86W...MOVG W 5KT. 1017MB HIGH CNTRD NR 26N/90W. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1016MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0900 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 90F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/...104F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/...105F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 90F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 97F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...100F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 99F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM TODAY... .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... NW 6KT 250FT... NW 6KT 500FT... NW 6KT 1KFT... NW 6KT 2KFT... E 5KT 3KFT...ENE 13KT 4KFT...ENE 19KT 5KFT...ENE 23KT MAX WIND...074/23KT 5000FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 4400FT...WARM LAPSE 6900FT...COND STABLE LAPSE TO 16.9KFT...WARM LAPSE TO 22.1KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. V-DRY SFC TO 950MB/2000FT...CONV CURVES TO 3C DEP AT 875MB/4300FT... V-DRY TO 775MB...V-DRY ABV. DRY MICROBURST PROFILE. P.W. 1.83 IN. LI -5.4 SBCAPE 2979 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 082/9KT. 21/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z TUE 06/22/10 SFC... SE 14KT 250FT... SE 14KT 500FT... SE 15KT 1KFT... SE 16KT 2KFT... SE 16KT 3KFT... SE 16KT 4KFT... SE 16KT 5KFT... SE 18KT MAX WIND...053/40KT 40.7KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3200FT...PSEUDO ABV. INV-V TO 3C DEP SFC TO 925MB/2800FT...V 4C DEP AT 870MB/4600FT TO 600MB...CONV CURVES TO SATURATION AT 500MB...V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.90 IN. LI N/A. SBCAPE N/A J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 167/07KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 211351Z AUTO VRB04KT 7SM CLR 30/26 A3002 RMK AO2 SLP164 T03000261 TSNO METAR KGAO 211403Z AUTO 34005KT CLR 31/26 A3001 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 211350Z 36005KT 10SM CLR 29/25 A3000 METAR KIPN 211355Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT024 BKN035 31/24 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 211355Z AUTO 05006KT 10SM FEW030 SCT037 30/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 211355Z AUTO 36009KT 10SM 31/25 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 211355Z AUTO 03005KT 10SM CLR 31/25 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 211355Z AUTO 01011KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A3000 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT020-028...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN015CB G30KT TOP 450. AFT 02Z...VFR CAVOK...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR BKN020 BTWN 08Z-12Z. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025 BKN100...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN020CB G30KT TOP 400 BTWN 12Z-21Z. AFT 00Z...VFR SCT030. KHUM 211131Z 2112/2212 VRB03KT P6SM FEW050 TEMPO 2112/2114 5SM HZ FM212100 11005KT P6SM SCT050CB FM220200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM221000 VRB03KT 5SM HZ SCT250 KHSA 211131Z 2112/2212 VRB04KT P6SM SCT050 FM211500 04004KT P6SM FEW035 FM212100 16004KT P6SM SCT050CB FM220200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030. SCT TSRA. LGT E WND. .RADAR... AT 0900 CDT...LEADG EDGE OF LRG AREA OF SHWRS/TSTMS 22NM SE AND XTNDG TO E GLFMEX...AREAL MOVMT W 7KT. LEADG EDGE IS MOSTLY SHWRS. BAND OF TSTMS 60-70NM SE OF SPILL LOCATION. OCNL LGTNG THESE CELLS. CLOSEST LGTNG...64NM ESE. ETA TO SPILL LOCATION...1330 CDT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.66 FT AT 0838 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.26 FT AT 1750 CDT. WYCM6 1.87 FT AT 0838 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.25 FT AT 2005 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 89.1F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........37 37 37 68 68 68 68 68 68 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 86 87 88 88 88 88 87 87 RH..............75 73 69 63 63 66 68 68 65 HEAT INDEX (F)..91 94 94 97 97 98 98 96 95 20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E E E SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.4 3.4 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 CEILINGS........B25 B25 B25 B25 B20 B20 B20 B22 B22 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........68 45 45 45 46 46 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............87 85 84 83 83 83 RH..............63 66 70 71 71 71 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 93 90 90 90 90 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....4100 3700 3200 3200 2600 2600 MIX HGT (M).....1250 1130 980 980 790 790 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 E 7 SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 3 E 3 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM SM LC .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........46 73 73 73 78 78 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 83 82 86 86 86 RH..............71 71 74 65 65 65 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 87 93 93 93 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 3000 3200 3200 3800 3800 MIX HGT (M).....790 910 980 980 1160 1160 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 10 S 12 S 12 S 13 SE 12 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 4 S 5 S 5 S 6 SE 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............1 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100621.DEEPW.05/LIX