FNUS74 KLIX 211507 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1007 AM CDT MON JUN 21 2010 AT 1000 CDT...1015MB TROF OF LOW PRES FM UPR CHAND ISLS TO ELY WAVE ALG 87W...MOVG W 5KT. 1017MB HIGH CNTRD NR 26N/90W. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1016MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1000 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/...100F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/...103F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/...105F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 98F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 99F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... 91F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/...102F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM TODAY... ...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING MISSISSIPPI CANYON 252 FROM THE EAST... * AT 937 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED A LARGE AREA OF MOSTLY SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN EASTERLY WAVE...FROM 66 NM EAST OF PILOTTOWN TO 88 NM SOUTHEAST OF SOUTHWEST PASS OF MISSISSIPPI RIVER. THE AREA WAS DRIFTING WEST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS. * MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS AROUND 25 KNOTS...LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES...AND LIGHTNING STRIKES IN THE VICINITY OF THE SPILL OPERATIONS AREA. COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE MAINLY AFTER 11 AM CDT. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... NW 6KT 250FT... NW 6KT 500FT... NW 6KT 1KFT... NW 6KT 2KFT... E 5KT 3KFT...ENE 13KT 4KFT...ENE 19KT 5KFT...ENE 23KT MAX WIND...074/23KT 5000FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 4400FT...WARM LAPSE 6900FT...COND STABLE LAPSE TO 16.9KFT...WARM LAPSE TO 22.1KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. V-DRY SFC TO 950MB/2000FT...CONV CURVES TO 3C DEP AT 875MB/4300FT... V-DRY TO 775MB...V-DRY ABV. DRY MICROBURST PROFILE. P.W. 1.83 IN. LI -5.4 SBCAPE 2979 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 082/9KT. 21/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z TUE 06/22/10 SFC... SE 14KT 250FT... SE 14KT 500FT... SE 15KT 1KFT... SE 16KT 2KFT... SE 16KT 3KFT... SE 16KT 4KFT... SE 16KT 5KFT... SE 18KT MAX WIND...053/40KT 40.7KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3200FT...PSEUDO ABV. INV-V TO 3C DEP SFC TO 925MB/2800FT...V 4C DEP AT 870MB/4600FT TO 600MB...CONV CURVES TO SATURATION AT 500MB...V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.90 IN. LI N/A. SBCAPE N/A J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 167/07KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 211451Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM CLR 31/24 A3002 RMK AO2 SLP166 T03110244 51005 TSNO METAR KGAO 211443Z AUTO 35007KT SCT018 32/26 A3001 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 211450Z 34006KT 10SM CLR 31/25 A3000 METAR KIPN 211455Z AUTO 29009KT 10SM FEW026 SCT037 BKN085 30/20 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 211455Z AUTO 07005KT 10SM CLR 30/24 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 211455Z AUTO 32005KT 10SM 31/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 211455Z AUTO 04006KT 10SM CLR 31/24 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 211455Z AUTO 01010KT 10SM FEW018 FEW049 FEW060 30/26 A3001 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT020-028...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN015CB G30KT TOP 450. AFT 02Z...VFR CAVOK...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR BKN020 BTWN 08Z-12Z. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025 BKN100...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN020CB G25KT TOP 400 BTWN 12Z-21Z MNLY S OF 28N. AFT 00Z...VFR SCT030. KHUM 211131Z 2112/2212 VRB03KT P6SM FEW050 TEMPO 2112/2114 5SM HZ FM212100 11005KT P6SM SCT050CB FM220200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM221000 VRB03KT 5SM HZ SCT250 KHSA 211131Z 2112/2212 VRB04KT P6SM SCT050 FM211500 04004KT P6SM FEW035 FM212100 16004KT P6SM SCT050CB FM220200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030. SCT TSRA. LGT E WND. .RADAR... AT 1000 CDT...LEADG EDGE OF LRG AREA OF SHWRS ASSOCD W/ELY WV 31NM NE...4NM SE...75NM S OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG W 5KT. BAND OF TSTMS 60NM SE OF SPILL LOCATION. OCNL LGTNG THESE CELLS. CLOSEST LGTNG...71NM SE. SOME OF THE CLOSER SHWRS MAY DEVELP LGTNG BEFORE 1030 AM. G25KT PSBLY THESE CELLS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.35 FT AT 0954 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.26 FT AT 1750 CDT. WYCM6 1.73 FT AT 0938 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.25 FT AT 2005 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 89.4F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........37 37 68 68 68 68 68 68 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............86 87 88 88 88 88 87 87 RH..............73 69 63 63 66 68 68 65 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 97 97 98 98 96 95 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..12 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.22 18 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.4 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 TRANS SPD (M/S).2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 CEILINGS........O20 O20 B22 B22 B22 B22 B22 B22 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........68 45 45 45 46 46 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............87 85 84 83 83 83 RH..............63 66 70 71 71 71 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 93 90 90 90 90 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....4100 3700 3200 3200 2600 2600 MIX HGT (M).....1250 1130 980 980 790 790 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 E 7 SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 S 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 3 E 3 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM SM LC .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........46 73 73 73 78 78 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 83 82 86 86 86 RH..............71 71 74 65 65 65 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 87 93 93 93 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 3000 3200 3200 3800 3800 MIX HGT (M).....790 910 980 980 1160 1160 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 10 S 12 S 12 S 13 SE 12 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 4 S 5 S 5 S 6 SE 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............1 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100621.DEEPW.06/LIX