FNUS74 KLIX 212212 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 512 PM CDT MON JUN 21 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AT 1700 CDT...1015MB TROF OF LOW PRES FM UPR CHAND SND TO ELY WAVE ALG 88W...MOVG W 8KT. 1018MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28N/90W. ANOTHER 1019MB HIGH OVER E GLFMEX TO FL PEN. ANOTHER 1016MB TROF EMRGG OFF LWR FL PEN BLO 26N LAT. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1017MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1600 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/...100F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 79F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 97F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 85F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/...101F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... 91F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 96F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM TODAY... ...SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR BRETON SOUND OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... CHANDELEUR SOUND OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS ...SPECIAL MARINE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS...INCLUDING CAILLOU BAY... ...SPECIAL MARINE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR BRETON SOUND OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... LAKE BORGNE OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... CHANDELEUR SOUND OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... MISSISSIPPI SOUND OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... INCLUDING CHANDELEUR SOUND... .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 22Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 5KT 250FT... SE 7KT 500FT... SE 7KT 1KFT... E 6KT 2KFT... NE 8KT 3KFT... NE 8KT 4KFT... NE 6KT 5KFT... NE 8KT MAX WIND...020/17KT 17.8KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 5600FT...WARM LAPSE TO 7100FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. 2C DEP SFC TO 850MB...V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.78 IN. LI -4.3 SBCAPE 2128 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 055/7KT. 21/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z TUE 06/22/10 SFC... SE 12KT 250FT... SE 19KT 500FT... SE 20KT 1KFT... SE 21KT 2KFT... SE 21KT 3KFT... SE 21KT 4KFT... SE 22KT 5KFT... SE 20KT MAX WIND...152/22KT 3900FT. DRY LAPSE TO 3200FT...PSEUDO ABV. INV-V TO 1C DEP SFC TO 925MB/2700FT...V 3C DEP AT 875MB/4600FT TO 600MB...CONV CURVES TO SATURATION AT 500MB...V-DRY ABV 450MB. P.W. 2.24 IN. LI -2.8. SBCAPE 914 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 166/11KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 212151Z AUTO 11004KT 10SM CLR 33/23 A2999 RMK AO2 SLP156 T03280228 TSNO METAR KGAO 212200Z AUTO 30005KT CLR 32/23 A3000 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQS PWINO METAR KHSA 212152Z 00000KT 2SM TSRA SCT070 BKN040 OVC055 24/24 A2999 METAR KIPN 212155Z AUTO 13011KT 10SM CLR 29/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 212155Z AUTO VRB05KT 10SM CLR 31/24 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 212155Z AUTO 14008KT 10SM 33/24 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 212155Z AUTO 13008KT 10SM FEW032 31/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 212155Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 33/23 A2998 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR 025-035...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN015CB G45KT TOP 500. AFT 02Z...VFR CAVOK...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR BKN020 BTWN 08Z-12Z. CHC TSRA BKN020CB G25KT TOP 400. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025 BKN100...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN020CB G35KT TOP 400. KHUM 211901Z 2119/2218 03006KT P6SM FEW050 TEMPO 2120/2123 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM220200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM221000 VRB03KT 5SM HZ SCT250 FM221500 06005KT P6SM BKN025 KHSA 212133Z 2122/2218 16004KT P6SM SCT035 BKN120 TEMPO 2122/2124 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN015CB FM220200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM221500 09005KT P6SM BKN030 PROB30 2215/2218 2SM TSRA BKN025CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030. SCT TSRA. LGT E WND. .RADAR... AT 1700 CDT...STG TSTM LOCATED 25NM N...MOVG WSW 15 KT. FQT LGTNG AND G35KT THIS STORM. THIS CELL SHOULD REMAIN N OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.22 FT AT 1538 CDT...NEAR LOW TIDE NOW. WYCM6 0.87 FT AT 1637 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE AT 757 CDT ON 6/22. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: MISG. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........M 68 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 WEATHER COV.....M SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....M TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............M 87 86 85 84 84 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 RH..............M 63 64 66 69 70 71 71 71 71 71 71 71 HEAT INDEX (F)..M 94 94 93 92 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 20 FT WIND DIR..M SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..M 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 10 10 8 20 FT WIND GUST.M 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 20 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...M 4.1 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 MIX HGT (KM)....M 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.M SE SE SE SE E E E SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.M 7 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 14 14 TRANS SPD (M/S).M 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).M 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............M 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......M LC LC LC LC LC LC LC CH CH CH CH CH .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........40 61 61 61 78 78 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 83 82 86 86 86 RH..............71 71 74 65 65 65 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 87 93 93 93 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 3 SE 5 SE 6 SE 7 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 3000 3200 3200 3800 3800 MIX HGT (M).....790 910 980 980 1160 1160 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14 SE 7 SE 10 SE 10 SE 13 SE 13 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 6 SE 3 SE 4 SE 4 SE 6 SE 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............1 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH SM LC LC LC LC .TUESDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........78 42 42 42 42 42 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 85 84 84 84 84 RH..............66 67 69 72 72 72 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 92 92 91 91 91 20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3800 3700 3200 3200 3000 3000 MIX HGT (M).....1160 1130 980 980 910 910 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 13 SE 12 SE 14 SE 14 SE 16 SE 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 6 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 SE 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC CH CH CH CH CH $$ FORECASTER...SHIELDS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100621.DEEPW.14/LIX