FNUS74 KLIX 212313 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 613 PM CDT MON JUN 21 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AT 1800 CDT...1015MB TROF OF LOW PRES FM NEAR LAKE BORGNE TO SOUTHWEST PASS AND THEN SOUTH ALG 88W...MOVG WEST. 1018MB HIGH CNTRD NR 27N/91W. A 1017MB HIGH OVER E GLFMEX TO FL PEN. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1016MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1600 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/...102F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/...MSG GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 94F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 86F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/...101F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... 92F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 97F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM TODAY... ...SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS IN EFFECT... LAKE BORGNE OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... INCLUDING LAKE BORGNE... UNTIL 615 PM CDT COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... UNTIL 615 PM CDT BRETON SOUND OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... CHANDELEUR SOUND OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND LOUISIANA OUT 20 TO 60 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... UNTIL 715 PM CDT .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 23Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 5KT 250FT... SE 6KT 500FT... SE 6KT 1KFT... NE 3KT 2KFT... NE 12KT 3KFT... NE 11KT 4KFT... NE 9KT 5KFT... NE 10KT MAX WIND...020/14KT 7KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 3700FT...WARM LAPSE TO 6200FT. DRY ABV 800 MB. P.W. 1.8 IN. LI -4.1 SBCAPE 1931 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 068/7KT. 21/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z TUE 06/22/10 SFC... SE 12KT 250FT... SE 19KT 500FT... SE 20KT 1KFT... SE 21KT 2KFT... SE 21KT 3KFT... SE 21KT 4KFT... SE 22KT 5KFT... SE 20KT MAX WIND...152/22KT 3900FT. DRY LAPSE TO 3200FT...PSEUDO ABV. INV-V TO 1C DEP SFC TO 925MB/2700FT...V 3C DEP AT 875MB/4600FT TO 600MB...CONV CURVES TO SATURATION AT 500MB...V-DRY ABV 450MB. P.W. 2.24 IN. LI -2.8. SBCAPE 914 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 166/11KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 212251Z AUTO 22004KT 9SM CLR 32/25 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP152 T03170250 TSNO METAR KGAO 212240Z AUTO 00000KT CLR 31/22 A2998 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE SW AND W PWINO METAR KHSA 212252Z 17003KT 10SM SCT080 SCT095 26/23 A2997 METAR KIPN 212255Z AUTO 14010KT 10SM FEW025 29/24 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 212255Z AUTO 15005KT 10SM CLR 31/24 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 212255Z AUTO 13006KT 10SM 32/24 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 212255Z AUTO 14008KT 9SM FEW043 FEW049 FEW120 31/25 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 212255Z AUTO 18006KT 10SM CLR 33/23 A2997 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR 025-035...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN015CB G45KT TOP 500. AFT 02Z...VFR CAVOK...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR BKN020 BTWN 08Z-12Z. CHC TSRA BKN020CB G25KT TOP 400. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025 BKN100...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN020CB G35KT TOP 400. KHUM 211901Z 2119/2218 03006KT P6SM FEW050 TEMPO 2120/2123 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM220200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM221000 VRB03KT 5SM HZ SCT250 FM221500 06005KT P6SM BKN025 KHSA 212133Z 2122/2218 16004KT P6SM SCT035 BKN120 TEMPO 2122/2124 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN015CB FM220200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM221500 09005KT P6SM BKN030 PROB30 2215/2218 2SM TSRA BKN025CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030. SCT TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030. SCT TSRA. LGT E WND. .RADAR... AT 1800 CDT...WEAK TSTM LOCATED 31NM NW...MOVG WSW 15 KT. OCNL LGTNG AND GUSTS TO 30KT THIS STORM. A STG TSTM LOCATED 64 NM N MOVING SW AT 20 KT. FREQUENT LGTNG AND GUSTS TO 40 KT WITH THIS STORM. THESE CELLS SHOULD REMAIN N OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.30 FT AT 1730 CDT...NEAR LOW TIDE NOW. WYCM6 0.49 FT AT 1724 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE AT 757 CDT ON 6/22. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 90. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........68 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 WEATHER COV.....SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............87 86 85 84 84 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 RH..............63 64 66 69 70 71 71 71 71 71 71 71 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 93 92 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 10 10 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 20 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.1 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 MIX HGT (KM)....1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE E E E SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.7 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 14 14 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC CH CH CH CH CH .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........40 61 61 61 78 78 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 83 82 86 86 86 RH..............71 71 74 65 65 65 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 87 93 93 93 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 3 SE 5 SE 6 SE 7 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 3000 3200 3200 3800 3800 MIX HGT (M).....790 910 980 980 1160 1160 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14 SE 7 SE 10 SE 10 SE 13 SE 13 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 6 SE 3 SE 4 SE 4 SE 6 SE 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............1 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH SM LC LC LC LC .TUESDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........78 42 42 42 42 42 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 85 84 84 84 84 RH..............66 67 69 72 72 72 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 92 92 91 91 91 20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3800 3700 3200 3200 3000 3000 MIX HGT (M).....1160 1130 980 980 910 910 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 13 SE 12 SE 14 SE 14 SE 16 SE 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 6 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 SE 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC CH CH CH CH CH $$ FORECASTER...SHIELDS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100621.DEEPW.15/LIX