FNAK79 PAFG 230128
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
528 PM AKDT TUE JUN 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1720 AKDT ON JUNE 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A THERMAL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM NORTHWAY TO
JUST SOUTH OF FAIRBANKS AND WESTWARD IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL
MAINTAIN A MAINLY NORTHEAST WIND FLOW OVER THE AREA DURING
THE DAYTIME AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT
LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AS A THIN
NOCTURNAL INVERSION DEVELOPS. NO CHANGE IN AIR MASS STABILITY
IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE THERMAL TROUGH LINE IS EXPECTED
TO DRIFT NORTH OF THE FAIRBANKS AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
WITH AFTERNOON WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY. SOME DESTABILIZATION
OF THE AIR MASS IS EXPECTED THURSDAY ALONG WITH SOMEWHAT HIGHER
AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO 3-5 MPH
                    AFTER 2200 AND TO 1-3 MPH AFTER 2400.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL LOWERING TO 500-1000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 2400.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH DIMINISHING TO 1-3 MPH AFTER
                    2400.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 TO 20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    6-10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH AFTER 1300.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL DURING THE EARLY MORNING RISING
                    TO 10000 FT AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5-10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT
WINDS IN THE MORNING...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS
AROUND 70. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FISCHER
REQUESTED BY...TAMI DEFRIES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100622.WILLO.02/AFG