FNUS74 KLIX 221114 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 614 AM CDT TUE JUN 22 2010 AT 0600 CDT...ELY WAVE...1015MB INVRTD TROF...MOVG ACRS 90W FM LA CST TO LWR GLFMEX...MOVG W ARND 8-10KT. RICH FLW OF TROPICAL MOISTR FM FL STRAITS TO OPS AREA. 1019MB HIGH PRES RIDGG FM FL PEN INTO ERN GLFMEX. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION... 1016MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0600 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 89F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 77F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 79F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 77F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 95F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... 91F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 79F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL WITH A 5% CHC OF DMGG WNDS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...TROPICAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING THE LOUISIANA SOUNDS AND BARATARIA BAY AREA... ...WATERSPOUTS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING... * AT 540 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING WIND GUSTS 25 TO 30 KNOTS AND POSSIBLE WATERSPOUTS...FROM 15 NM EAST OF CHANDELEUR SOUND TO 7 NM NORTHWEST OF GRAND ISLE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS. * THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ENTERING BRETON AND LOWER CHANDELEUR SOUNDS AND THE AREA AROUND BARATARIA BAY INCLUDING GRAND ISLE THROUGH 830 AM CDT. * SOME LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH A FEW OF THESS STORMS. IF CAUGHT ON THE OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED METAL OBJECTS. * MARINE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE WATERSPOUTS WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING. SEEK SAFE HARBOR IF A WATERSPOUT IS SPOTTED. DUE TO INTERACTIONS WITH A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA...THE WATERSPOUTS CAN BE MORE POWERFUL AND LONGER LASTING THAN TYPICAL. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 09Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 11KT 250FT... SE 11KT 500FT... SE 12KT 1KFT... SE 13KT 2KFT... SE 13KT 3KFT... SE 10KT 4KFT... S 9KT 5KFT... S 9KT MAX WIND...153/13KT 2KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 2600FT...WARM LAPSE TO 6800FT. DRY ABV 850 MB. P.W. 1.95 IN. LI -2.8 SBCAPE 1963 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 196/2KT. 22/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z WED 06/23/10 SFC... SE 10KT 250FT... SE 11KT 500FT... SE 11KT 1KFT... SE 11KT 2KFT... SE 11KT 3KFT... SE 8KT 4KFT... SE 9KT 5KFT... SE 9KT MAX WIND...186/49KT 41.0KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1100FT...COND STABLE TO 7600FT...WARM LAPSE TO 9400FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. MOIST FM SFC TO 970MB. V-DRY TO 700MB...CONV CURVES TO 500MB... V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.84 IN. LI -5.0. SBCAPE 2228 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 170/07KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 221051Z AUTO 13005KT 8SM CLR 28/24 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP161 T02780244 TSNO METAR KGAO 221100Z AUTO 36003KT 7SM CLR 25/23 A3001 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA MISG METAR KIPN 221055Z AUTO 13018KT 10SM CLR 29/23 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 221055Z AUTO 18010KT 10SM FEW026 FEW037 SCT060 30/24 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 221055Z AUTO 19004KT 10SM CLR 30/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 221055Z AUTO 22011KT 10SM BKN028 BKN034 BKN039 30/25 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 221055Z AUTO 15016KT 10SM FEW034 FEW044 FEW100 30/23 A2998 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN025-028...SCT-NMRS 2SM SHRA G25KT TOP 300. AFT 14Z...MVFR BKN028CB SCT-NMRS TSRA G30KT TOP 400. AFT 03Z...VFR CAVOK...ISOLD TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOP 350. MARINE AREAS...MVFR BKN025-029...SCT-NMRS 2SM TSRA BKN025CB G30KT ISOLD-SCT FC/WSPTS TOP 450. KHUM 221001Z 2210/2306 VRB03KT P6SM SCT120 FM221500 06005KT P6SM BKN025 KHSA 220520Z 2206/2306 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 TEMPO 2210/2213 5SM BR FM221500 09005KT P6SM BKN030 PROB30 2216/2222 2SM TSRA BKN025CB AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. LGT E-SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030. SCT TSRA. LGT E WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT030. SCT TSRA. LGT E WND. .RADAR... AT 0600 CDT...SCT SHWRS TSTMS DEVLPG STEADILY WITHIN 20NM OF SPILL LOCATION. LRG BAND OF SHWRS/TSTMS XTNDS FM MOBILE BAY TO MOUTH OF MS RVR...MOVG W 10KT. OCNL LGTNG THESE CELLS. OVRALL INCR IN COVRG/INTNSTY XPTD NEXT 3-4 HRS VCNTY SPILL LOCATION. G25-30KT...ISOLD WSPTS AND OCNL LGTNG TO DEVLP 0600-0900. CLOSEST LGTNG...73NM NW NR CHAND ISLS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.98 FT AT 0554 CDT STEADY AT HIGH TIDE. WYCM6 2.46 FT AT 0554 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.54 FT AT 0757 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88.9F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........59 59 59 59 59 59 83 83 83 83 83 83 WEATHER COV.....SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............83 83 83 83 85 87 87 87 87 87 87 86 RH..............79 79 77 75 72 67 63 63 63 63 64 65 HEAT INDEX (F)..84 86 87 89 92 96 96 96 96 96 96 94 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 MIX HGT (KM)....1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 18 18 18 25 25 25 25 25 25 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 8 8 8 11 11 11 11 11 11 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 20 20 20 20 20 40 40 40 40 40 40 CEILINGS........B22............................................. SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH SM SM LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........83 56 56 56 51 51 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............86 85 84 84 84 84 RH..............65 66 69 72 76 80 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 93 92 93 90 86 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 SE 9 SE 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 3200 3100 3100 3100 2900 MIX HGT (M).....1100 980 940 940 940 880 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 25 SE 21 SE 16 SE 16 SE 21 SE 20 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 11 SE 9 SE 7 SE 7 SE 9 SE 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............2 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC CH CH CH CH CH .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........51 56 56 56 72 72 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 83 87 87 87 RH..............82 79 75 66 66 66 HEAT INDEX (F)..84 86 90 95 95 95 20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 6 SE 6 E 6 E 6 E 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2900 3000 3200 3200 3900 3600 MIX HGT (M).....880 910 980 980 1190 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 20 SE 17 SE 16 SE 16 SE 13 E 10 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 9 SE 8 SE 7 SE 7 SE 6 E 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100622.DEEPW.02/LIX