FNUS74 KLIX 221212 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 712 AM CDT TUE JUN 22 2010 AT 0700 CDT...ELY WV...1015MB INVRTD TROF...MOVG ACRS 92W FM SE LA TO ATCH BAY...MOVG W ARND 10KT. ANOTHER ELY WV ALG 88W S OF 27N...MOVG W 10KT. RICH FLW OF TROPICAL MOISTR FM FL STRAITS TO OPS AREA. 1020MB HIGH PRES RIDGG FM FL PEN INTO ERN GLFMEX. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION... 1016MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0700 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 82F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 81F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 79F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 79F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 92F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... 92F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 85F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL WITH A 5% CHC OF DMGG WNDS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...TROPICAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING THE LOUISIANA SOUNDS AND BARATARIA BAY AREA... ...WATERSPOUTS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING... * AT 540 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING WIND GUSTS 25 TO 30 KNOTS AND POSSIBLE WATERSPOUTS...FROM 15 NM EAST OF CHANDELEUR SOUND TO 7 NM NORTHWEST OF GRAND ISLE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS. * THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ENTERING BRETON AND LOWER CHANDELEUR SOUNDS AND THE AREA AROUND BARATARIA BAY INCLUDING GRAND ISLE THROUGH 830 AM CDT. * SOME LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH A FEW OF THESS STORMS. IF CAUGHT ON THE OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED METAL OBJECTS. * MARINE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE WATERSPOUTS WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING. SEEK SAFE HARBOR IF A WATERSPOUT IS SPOTTED. DUE TO INTERACTIONS WITH A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA...THE WATERSPOUTS CAN BE MORE POWERFUL AND LONGER LASTING THAN TYPICAL. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 11KT 250FT... SE 11KT 500FT... SE 12KT 1KFT... SE 12KT 2KFT... SE 12KT 3KFT... SE 9KT 4KFT... S 7KT 5KFT... SE 6KT MAX WIND...092/25KT 54.4KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 2100FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV WITH SLGT WARM LAYER 5000-6600FT. 2-3C DEP SFC TO 850MB/5100FT...V-DRY TO 800MB/6600FT...CONV CRVS TO 3C DEP AT 700MB AND ABV. P.W. 2.14 IN. LI -3.1 SBCAPE 2039 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 175/2KT. 22/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z WED 06/23/10 SFC... SE 10KT 250FT... SE 11KT 500FT... SE 11KT 1KFT... SE 11KT 2KFT... SE 11KT 3KFT... SE 8KT 4KFT... SE 9KT 5KFT... SE 9KT MAX WIND...186/49KT 41.0KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1100FT...COND STABLE TO 7600FT...WARM LAPSE TO 9400FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. MOIST FM SFC TO 970MB. V-DRY TO 700MB...CONV CURVES TO 500MB... V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.84 IN. LI -5.0. SBCAPE 2228 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 170/07KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 221151Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT034 OVC090 26/22 A3003 RMK AO2 RAB04E47 SLP167 P0020 60020 70030 T02610222 10283 20256 51014 TSNO METAR KGAO 221200Z AUTO 27003KT 7SM CLR 26/24 A3002 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E METAR KHSA 221151Z 32003KT 7SM CLR 24/24 A3003 METAR KIPN 221155Z AUTO 12016KT 10SM CLR 29/24 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 221155Z AUTO 19008KT 10SM SCT028 SCT032 SCT045 30/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 221155Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM 30/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 221155Z AUTO 21006KT 10SM FEW037 30/24 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 221155Z AUTO 16010KT 10SM CLR 31/23 A3001 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN025-028...SCT-NMRS 2SM SHRA G25KT TOP 300. AFT 14Z...MVFR BKN028CB SCT-NMRS TSRA G30KT TOP 400. AFT 03Z...VFR CAVOK...ISOLD TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOP 350. MARINE AREAS...MVFR BKN025-029...SCT-NMRS 2SM TSRA BKN025CB G30KT ISOLD-SCT FC/WSPTS TOP 450. KHUM 221133Z 2212/2312 08005KT 6SM BR SCT050 SCT250 FM221400 08006KT P6SM VCSH SCT030 BKN050 BKN250 FM222000 13008KT P6SM SCT030 BKN050 BKN250 FM230200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT030 SCT250 KHSA 221133Z 2212/2312 VRB03KT P6SM VCSH SCT020 FM221400 08005KT P6SM SCT020 BKN040 FM221800 13008KT P6SM SCT030 BKN050 BKN250 FM230200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. LGT E-SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030. SCT TSRA. LGT E WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT030. SCT TSRA. LGT E WND. .RADAR... AT 0700 CDT...SCT SHWRS TSTMS DEVLPG STEADILY WITHIN 5NM OF SPILL LOCATION. LRG BAND OF SHWRS/TSTMS XTNDS FM MOBILE BAY TO MOUTH OF MS RVR...MOVG W 10KT. OCNL LGTNG THESE CELLS. OVRALL INCR IN COVRG/INTNSTY XPTD NEXT 3HRS VCNTY SPILL LOCATION. G25-30KT...ISOLD WSPTS AND OCNL LGTNG TO DEVLP 0700-0900. CLOSEST LGTNG...68NM NW NR CALIFORNIA BAY. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.98 FT AT 0554 CDT STEADY AT HIGH TIDE. WYCM6 2.46 FT AT 0554 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.54 FT AT 0757 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88.9F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........59 59 59 59 59 83 83 83 83 83 83 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............83 83 83 85 87 87 87 87 87 87 86 RH..............79 77 75 72 67 63 63 63 63 64 65 HEAT INDEX (F)..86 87 89 92 96 96 96 96 96 96 94 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 18 18 18 25 25 25 25 25 25 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 8 8 8 11 11 11 11 11 11 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 40 40 40 40 40 40 CEILINGS........B22....................................... SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........83 56 56 56 51 51 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............86 85 84 84 84 84 RH..............65 66 69 72 76 80 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 93 92 93 90 86 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 SE 9 SE 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 3200 3100 3100 3100 2900 MIX HGT (M).....1100 980 940 940 940 880 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 25 SE 21 SE 16 SE 16 SE 21 SE 20 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 11 SE 9 SE 7 SE 7 SE 9 SE 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............2 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC CH CH CH CH CH .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........51 56 56 56 72 72 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 83 87 87 87 RH..............82 79 75 66 66 66 HEAT INDEX (F)..84 86 90 95 95 95 20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 6 SE 6 E 6 E 6 E 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2900 3000 3200 3200 3900 3600 MIX HGT (M).....880 910 980 980 1190 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 20 SE 17 SE 16 SE 16 SE 13 E 10 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 9 SE 8 SE 7 SE 7 SE 6 E 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100622.DEEPW.03/LIX