FNAK79 PAFG 241239
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOKLAT 2  899...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
439 AM AKDT THU JUN 24 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2245 AKDT ON JUNE 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A THERMAL TROUGH WILL LIFT NORTH OF THE FIRE AND STRENGTHEN SOME
THIS AFTERNOON.  THE MAIN IMPACT FROM THIS THROUGH WILL BE TO CAUSE
THE WIND TO TURN INTO THE SOUTHWEST AND PICK UP SOME THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE AIRMASS WILL BE MODERATELY UNSTABLE.
CONDITIONS LOOK TO BE FAIRLY SIMILAR ON FRIDAY. A WEATHER FRONT WILL
HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF BRINGING A WETTING RAIN TO THE FIRE ON SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-70 PERCENT). A FEW SPRINKLES
                    POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO 6 TO 12 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1000 FT AGL...THEN INCREASING TO 8000-9000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-85 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING WITH GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH BECOMING LIGHT BY MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY
                    WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS NEAR 70. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 75. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...DALE WOITAS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100623.TOKLA.01/AFG