FNUS74 KEPZ 231600
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ASPEN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1000 AM MDT WED JUN 23 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0915 MDT ON JUNE 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STREAM OF MIDLEVEL MOISTURE COVERS THE BURN AREA SITUATED
BETWEEN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND AN UPPER LEVEL
HIGH TO THE EAST.  A FEW SPRINKLES CAN'T BE RULED OUT THIS
MORNING BUT WITH SURFACE HUMIDITIES LOW THERE WILL LITTLE
WETTING.  MOISTURE WILL BEGIN INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON BUT
CLOUD COVER MAY INHIBIT THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING TODAY.
NEVERTHELESS IF THEY DO DEVELOP EXPECT GUSTY WINDS AND
POSSIBLE DRY LIGHTNING.

STORM CHANCES INCREASE FOR THE BURN AREA TOMORROW AS
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE ARRIVES BUT DRY LIGHTNING REMAINS A
POSSIBILITY WITH THE FIRST STORMS OF THE DAY.


.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    SMALL HAIL POSSIBLE IN STORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER 2PM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. ERRATIC WINDS WITH LOCAL GUSTS
                    TO 25 MPH NEAR STORMS.
VENT CAT............IMPROVING TO FAIR (50000 KT-FT) THIS AFTERNOON

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BEFORE 8PM.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
MAX HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LOCAL GUSTS TO 25 NEAR STORMS.
VENT CAT............PROBABLY REACHING ONLY FAIR (55000 KT-FT) DURING THE AFTERNOON

$$

FORECASTER...MACBLAIN
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100623.ASPEN.01/EPZ