FNUS75 KGJT 231843
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WATER CREEK...ATC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1243 PM MDT WED JUN 23 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1213 MDT ON JUNE 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE REGION TODAY...AND WILL REMAIN
IN CONTROL THROUGH THURSDAY. AS A RESULT TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE
SEASONAL NORMALS. SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE TERRAIN DRIVEN DUE
TO RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS ALOFT. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THE BURN
SITE TO BE IN A THERMAL BELT TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.
WIND (20 FT)........AFTERNOON WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS 8-13 MPH...WITH
                    GUSTS POSSIBLE TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........39-44%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY (SOUTHEAST) 4-8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR (5900-11400 KNOT-FT) IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 11 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH AFTER
                    1100...WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...GRAND JCT DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100623.WATER.01/GJT