FNAK79 PAFG 251409
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOLDBUG CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
609 AM AKDT FRI JUN 25 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2332 AKDT ON JUNE 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE THERMAL TROUGH THAT WAS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE LIGHTNING STRIKE
THAT STARTED THE FIRE WILL SHIFT A BIT FURTHER TO THE EAST TODAY.
ALTHOUGH A VERY ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM CAN NOT BE TOTALLY
RULED OUT THIS AFTERNOON THE CHANCES ARE PRETTY SLIM. A DISTURBANCE
IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ON SATURDAY WILL PRODUCE A BETTER CHANCE OF
SHOWERS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A WETTING RAIN. MAINLY DRY WEATHER
IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-45 PERCENT). AN ISOLATED SHOWER
                    OR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON (10 PERCENT
                    CHANCE).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 8 TO 14 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...THEN 2 AFTER 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (25-50 PERCENT)...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    (60-90 PERCENT) WITH A FEW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...
PARTLY SUNNY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN NEAR 60.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
PARTLY SUNNY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 65.
LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...ESTHER HORSCHEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100624.GOLDB.01/AFG