FNUS74 KEPZ 241534
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ASPEN...STATE OF NEW MEXICO FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
934 AM MDT THU JUN 24 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0852 MDT ON JUNE 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOIST AIR AND A LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE WILL BRING SCATTERED
AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BURN SITE
TODAY AND FRIDAY. A LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE SANDWICHED BETWEEN
SOUTHEAST FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO AND DRIER SOUTHWEST FLOW
OVER ARIZONA HAS MOVED INTO THE BOOTHEEL AND EASTERN ARIZONA.
THIS HAS PUSHED DEWPOINTS INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S THIS
MORNNG ACROSS THE BURN SITE. UNSTABLE AIR AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE
HAS ALSO SHIFTED WEST OF THE DIVIDE AROUND THE RIM OF AN AREA OF
HIGH ALOFT CENTERED OVER TEXAS. THIS COMBINATION WILL PRODUCE
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY AGAIN FRIDAY. THIS PATTERN WILL
MOST LIKELY SHIFT BACK TO THE EAST SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NOW ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST MOVES FARTHER
INLAND...BRINGING DRIER AIR INTO EASTERN ARIZONA AND WESTERN
NEW MEXICO. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. MINIMUM DAYTIME
HUMIDITY IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 20S EACH DAY WITH GOOD
RECOVERY AT NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH EARLY THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
                    3 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    NORTH TO NORTHEAST 2-5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT IN THE MORNING...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 3
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.


$$
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...GILA DISPATCH
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100624.ASPEN.01/EPZ