FNUS75 KBOU 251454 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COW CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 854 AM MDT FRI JUN 25 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN AND AROUND COLORADO FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BE LIGHT WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY. THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN PRETTY DRY FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS WELL. ISOLATED LATE DAY THUNDERSTORMS WILL MAINLY BRING VARIABLE STRONG WIND GUSTS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1500...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500. SOME MAY BE DRY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78. MIN HUMIDITY........12-18%. WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS 2-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN WEST WINDS 7-17 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP 25 MPH AFTER 1300. VARIABLE DIRECTION WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11800-12800 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-55. MAX HUMIDITY........35-45%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-7 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300. MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-73. MIN HUMIDITY........20-30%. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST WINDS 16-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL AFTER 0800 UNTIL 1100...THEN 5400-6400 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COW CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/25-08 0 0 51 33 SW 8 1 3667 W 17 59879 F 06/25-09 0 0 55 28 SW 7 7 4 1 W41 5421 W 18 88950 G 06/25-10 0 0 59 23 SW 8 1 7478 W 20 134816 V 06/25-11 0 0 63 20 W 10 1 9535 W 21 180682 E 06/25-12 23 0 66 18 W 13 20 3 1 W38 11592 W 23 226548 E 06/25-13 23 0 67 17 W 14 1 12080 W 22 230825 E 06/25-14 23 0 68 18 W 15 1 12568 W 22 235102 E 06/25-15 37 10 68 19 W 15 23 4 2 W30 13057 W 21 239378 E 06/25-16 37 10 69 19 W 13 2 12901 W 20 219183 E 06/25-17 37 10 68 19 W 10 2 12746 W 18 198988 E 06/25-18 65 20 67 20 W 8 8 4 3 SW21 12591 SW 16 178792 E 06/25-19 65 20 65 23 W 7 3 8502 W 13 119862 V 06/25-20 65 20 61 27 W 6 3 4412 W 10 60932 G 06/25-21 65 20 58 32 W 6 6 4 3 SW14 323 W 7 2001 P 06/25-22 65 20 55 37 W 6 3 292 W 7 1838 P 06/25-23 65 20 53 40 W 6 3 261 W 7 1675 P 06/26-00 47 8 52 44 W 6 6 3 1 SW22 230 W 8 1512 P 06/26-01 47 8 50 46 W 7 1 234 W 9 1915 P 06/26-02 47 8 49 48 W 8 1 238 W 12 2318 P 06/26-03 47 8 49 49 W 10 16 3 1 SW39 241 W 13 2722 P 06/26-04 47 8 48 51 W 13 1 233 W 15 2923 P 06/26-05 47 8 48 51 W 15 1 224 W 16 3124 P 06/26-06 24 0 48 51 W 17 26 3 1 SW23 215 W 17 3325 P 06/26-07 24 0 49 48 W 20 1 600 W 21 12365 P 06/26-08 24 0 51 43 W 21 1 985 W 23 21405 P 06/26-09 24 0 53 38 W 23 35 4 1 SW21 1369 W 25 30446 P 06/26-10 24 0 56 34 W 22 1 2961 W 22 45506 F 06/26-11 24 0 57 31 W 21 1 4897 W 18 69109 G 06/26-12 29 0 59 29 W 20 30 4 1 SW15 6833 W 16 92711 G 06/26-13 29 10 59 29 W 20 2 6690 W 17 96844 G 06/26-14 29 10 59 30 W 21 2 6547 W 17 100976 V 06/26-15 29 10 59 31 W 21 31 4 2 SW20 6404 W 18 105108 V 06/26-16 29 10 58 32 W 21 2 5124 W 18 84075 G 06/26-17 29 10 58 32 W 20 2 3844 W 18 63041 G 06/26-18 24 10 57 33 W 18 28 4 2 SW23 2565 W 18 42007 F 06/26-19 24 10 55 36 W 15 2 1803 W 16 28798 P 06/26-20 24 10 53 40 W 12 2 1041 W 13 15588 P 06/26-21 24 10 51 44 W 8 8 4 2 W17 278 W 10 2379 P 06/26-22 24 10 49 45 W 6 2 260 W 8 1856 P 06/26-23 24 10 48 46 W 5 2 242 W 6 1332 P 06/27-00 25 3 47 47 W 5 5 4 1 W23 223 W 5 809 P 06/27-01 25 3 46 48 W 5 1 229 W 5 840 P 06/27-02 25 3 45 50 W 5 1 235 W 5 870 P 06/27-03 25 3 45 52 W 5 5 4 1 W24 241 W 5 900 P 06/27-04 25 3 44 54 W 5 1 223 W 5 849 P 06/27-05 25 3 44 56 W 5 1 206 W 5 797 P 06/27-06 25 0 44 58 W 5 5 4 1 W24 188 W 5 745 P 06/27-07 25 0 46 55 W 5 1 665 W 5 1975 P 06/27-08 25 0 48 50 SW 3 1 1142 SW 3 3205 P 06/27-09 25 0 51 45 SW 3 3 4 1 W28 1619 SW 3 4435 P 06/27-10 25 0 54 42 SW 2 1 3921 SW 8 43596 F 06/27-11 25 0 56 40 SW 2 1 6223 W 12 82758 G 06/27-12 49 20 58 40 SW 2 2 3 3 W31 8525 W 16 121919 V 06/27-13 49 20 58 41 SW 3 3 8500 W 15 113863 V 06/27-14 49 20 58 42 S 5 3 8475 W 14 105807 V 06/27-15 49 20 58 44 S 6 6 3 3 W30 8450 W 14 97751 G 06/27-16 49 20 58 46 SE 7 3 7751 W 10 75477 G 06/27-17 49 20 58 47 SE 7 3 7051 W 8 53202 F 06/27-18 49 20 57 47 E 8 8 3 3 W26 6351 W 6 30928 P 06/27-19 49 20 55 47 E 9 3 06/27-20 49 20 53 47 SE 9 3 06/27-21 49 20 51 46 SE 9 14 3 06/27-22 49 20 50 45 SE 8 3 06/27-23 49 20 49 45 S 6 3 06/28-00 32 0 48 45 S 3 3 1 06/28-01 32 0 47 44 S 2 1 06/28-02 32 0 46 45 SW 2 1 06/28-03 32 0 46 45 SW 2 2 1 06/28-04 32 0 45 46 SW 2 1 06/28-05 32 0 45 47 SW 2 1 06/28-06 32 0 44 49 W 2 2 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100625.COWCR.01/BOU