FNUS74 KEPZ 251626
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ASPEN...STATE OF NEW MEXICO FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1026 AM MDT FRI JUN 25 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0955 MDT ON JUNE 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE COVERS MUCH OF WESTERN NEW MEXICO
THIS MORNING. IN ADDITION...DEWPOINTS FROM THE MID 50S TO MID 60S
REFLECT ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. THE MOIST AIR...COMBINED
WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND OROGRAPHIC LIFT...WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE FIRE SITE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY SOME OF THE
STORMS THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH
PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM THE GULF STATES WESTWARD INTO ARIZONA
WILL SHIFT BACK TO THE EAST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AS A TROUGH
ALONG THE WEST COAST MOVES INLAND. THIS WILL BRING DRIER AIR INTO
WESTERN NEW MEXICO AND LIMIT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. CURRENT MODELS
SUGGEST DEEP MOISTURE WILL SURGE WESTWARD TO THE ARIZONA BORDER
AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS.
MINIMUM RH IN THE 20S THIS AFTERNOON...DROPPING INTO THE TEENS
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO SOUTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH BECOMING SOUTH
                    TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH THIS AFTERNOON
.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST TO WEST 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING
                    LIGHT WITH DRAINAGE WINDS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 6 TO 10 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100625.ASPEN.01/EPZ