FNUS75 KPUB 251342
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR PIERCE FIRE...FORT CARSON FIRE DEPARTMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
742 AM MDT FRI JUN 25 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON
HELPING TO PRODUCE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.  EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS
TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND MOVE EAST OVER THE BURN
SITE.  WINDS WILL BECOME WESTERLY BY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS AROUND
22 MPH...HOWEVER OUTFLOW WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONGER
AND ERRATIC IF THEY OCCUR.  THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE
WETTING RAINS WHERE THEY OCCUR BUT LIGHTNING WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY
THUNDERSTORMS.  ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL PASS TO THE NORTH FOR
SATURDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING MORE NORTHWESTERLY AND ANOTHER
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS.  SMOKE DISPERSALS WILL BE POOR THIS
MORNING BEFORE WESTERLY FLOW MIXES DOWN CREATING EXCELLENT
DISPERSALS FOR THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(35 PERCENT). AN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORM AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-98F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH2 TO 5 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST SOUTHWEST
                    10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 16000 FT AGL AFTER
                    1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1700.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(30 PERCENT). AN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORM UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62F.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........BECOMING NORTH NORTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH AFTER 2100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 500 FT AGL UNTIL
                    2000...THEN 3500 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 500
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN WEST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(40 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH NORTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING WEST NORTHWEST
                    8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 16000 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-98F.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...PETER WOLF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100625.PIERC.01/PUB