FNUS75 KBOU 280358 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COW CREEK...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 958 PM MDT SUN JUN 27 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE STATE TOMORROW WITH WEAK WINDS ALOFT. TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL ALSO BE WARM ENOUGH TO KEEP MOST SHOWER ACTIVITY CAPPED. MID-LEVEL MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO BE MOVING OVER THE STATE FROM THE SOUTH AND THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF THIS MOISTURE MIGHT MAKE IT TO COLORADO/S NORTHERN BORDER...MAKING A FEW AFTERNOON OR EVENING THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER THE BURN AREA. STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE SLOW MOVING...MAKING IT POSSIBLE FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN TO RESULT. VERY SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE BEGINS MOVING EASTWARD. WEAK WINDS ALOFT AND WARM MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN LIMIT SHOWER DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...SHOWERS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE SLOW-MOVING AND CAPABLE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ON WEDNESDAY...SLIGHTLY STRONGER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL DEVELOP...BUT WARM MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL LINGER OVER THE STATE. AFTERNOON HEATING MAY AGAIN BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 0500...THEN CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-50. MAX HUMIDITY........60-70%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400... THEN WEST 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 0900...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-73. MIN HUMIDITY........30-40%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 6-12 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN EAST 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 8000-9000 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-48. MAX HUMIDITY........60-68%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8-14 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......8000-8500 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 500-1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-70. MIN HUMIDITY........26-34%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHEAST 13-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8-14 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 8200-9200 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 14-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 16-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COW CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/27-21 77 0 53 51 W 7 7 3 1 NW23 1083 SW 7 6724 P 06/27-22 77 0 51 54 W 6 1 793 SW 8 5012 P 06/27-23 63 0 50 55 W 6 1 503 W 8 3300 P 06/28-00 63 0 49 56 NW 6 6 3 1 NW18 213 W 8 1588 P 06/28-01 63 0 47 57 W 7 1 199 W 8 1460 P 06/28-02 48 0 46 59 W 8 1 185 W 8 1331 P 06/28-03 48 0 45 60 W 9 14 3 1 NW16 171 W 8 1202 P 06/28-04 48 0 45 61 W 9 1 174 W 8 1171 P 06/28-05 10 0 45 60 W 9 1 178 W 7 1141 P 06/28-06 10 0 45 60 W 9 14 4 1 N13 181 W 7 1110 P 06/28-07 10 0 46 57 W 9 1 480 W 6 1413 P 06/28-08 10 0 52 47 NW 8 1 779 NW 3 1717 P 06/28-09 31 0 56 41 NW 7 7 4 1 N 7 1078 NW 2 2021 P 06/28-10 31 0 60 36 NW 6 1 3493 NW 2 3505 P 06/28-11 31 0 64 33 N 5 1 5907 CALM 4990 P 06/28-12 31 0 66 32 N 3 3 3 1 NW 5 8322 CALM 6475 P 06/28-13 53 10 67 32 NE 5 2 8904 CALM 10635 P 06/28-14 53 10 68 32 E 7 2 9487 NE 2 14795 P 06/28-15 53 10 68 33 E 8 8 3 2 NW 8 10069 NE 2 18955 P 06/28-16 53 10 68 32 E 9 2 9069 E 2 21166 P 06/28-17 53 20 68 31 E 9 3 8068 E 3 23377 P 06/28-18 67 20 67 31 SE 9 14 3 3 NW10 8375 CALM 12446 P 06/28-19 67 20 64 33 SE 9 3 5706 E 5 9409 P 06/28-20 67 20 61 37 SE 8 3 3036 SE 8 6372 P 06/28-21 69 0 56 43 S 8 8 3 1 NE12 367 SE 10 3336 P 06/28-22 69 0 54 45 S 8 1 320 S 9 2769 P 06/28-23 69 0 51 49 S 7 1 274 S 9 2202 P 06/29-00 30 0 49 52 S 7 7 3 1 E13 228 S 8 1635 P 06/29-01 30 0 48 55 SW 7 1 215 S 8 1540 P 06/29-02 30 0 46 57 SW 8 1 202 SW 8 1446 P 06/29-03 30 0 45 59 SW 8 13 4 1 E14 189 SW 8 1351 P 06/29-04 30 0 44 60 SW 8 1 192 SW 8 1251 P 06/29-05 30 0 43 61 SW 7 1 194 SW 7 1151 P 06/29-06 31 0 44 60 SW 7 7 4 1 SE17 196 SW 6 1051 P 06/29-07 31 0 45 57 SW 8 1 477 SW 7 3026 P 06/29-08 31 0 49 52 S 9 1 759 S 7 5001 P 06/29-09 31 0 53 46 S 10 16 5 1 SE15 1041 S 8 6975 P 06/29-10 31 0 56 42 SE 10 1 3330 S 9 30254 P 06/29-11 31 0 59 38 SE 12 1 5618 S 10 53533 F 06/29-12 68 9 62 35 SE 12 18 3 1 SE14 7907 S 12 76812 G 06/29-13 68 9 64 33 SE 13 1 8496 S 12 84124 G 06/29-14 68 9 65 32 SE 14 1 9086 S 12 91435 G 06/29-15 68 17 65 31 SE 15 24 3 3 S12 9676 S 12 98747 G 06/29-16 68 17 65 30 SE 16 3 8925 S 13 93456 G 06/29-17 68 17 65 29 SE 16 3 8175 S 13 88165 G 06/29-18 54 3 64 29 SE 16 25 3 1 SW 8 7425 S 13 82875 G 06/29-19 54 3 62 31 SE 16 1 5043 S 14 56638 F 06/29-20 54 3 59 36 SE 16 1 2660 S 16 30402 P 06/29-21 54 3 57 41 S 16 25 3 1 SE 8 278 S 17 4165 P 06/29-22 54 0 54 47 S 15 1 273 S 16 3965 P 06/29-23 54 0 52 54 SW 15 1 269 S 16 3766 P 06/30-00 28 0 50 60 SW 14 22 3 1 SE14 264 SW 16 3566 P 06/30-01 28 0 48 64 SW 13 1 224 SW 14 2865 P 06/30-02 28 0 47 67 SW 13 1 184 SW 13 2163 P 06/30-03 28 0 46 68 SW 12 18 4 1 S17 145 SW 12 1462 P 06/30-04 28 0 45 70 W 9 1 148 W 9 1147 P 06/30-05 28 0 45 70 W 6 1 152 W 7 832 P 06/30-06 28 0 45 69 W 5 5 3 1 S14 156 W 3 517 P 06/30-07 28 0 46 64 W 3 1 427 W 6 3060 P 06/30-08 28 0 50 56 W 5 1 699 W 8 5604 P 06/30-09 28 0 54 49 W 6 6 4 1 S12 970 W 9 8147 P 06/30-10 28 0 57 42 NW 7 1 3503 W 9 23137 P 06/30-11 28 0 61 37 NW 8 1 6036 W 8 38126 P 06/30-12 68 15 63 33 NW 10 16 3 3 SW12 8569 W 7 53115 F 06/30-13 68 15 65 31 W 10 3 9114 W 7 55677 F 06/30-14 68 15 66 29 W 10 3 9659 W 7 58238 F 06/30-15 68 20 66 28 SW 12 17 3 3 S 7 10205 SW 7 60800 G 06/30-16 68 20 66 28 SW 12 3 9409 SW 7 59235 F 06/30-17 68 20 66 29 S 12 3 8613 SW 8 57669 F 06/30-18 51 10 65 30 S 13 20 3 2 SW14 7817 SW 8 56103 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...RM IMT B REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100627.COWCR.01/BOU