FNUS74 KLIX 272009 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 309 PM CDT SUN JUN 27 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1500 CDT...1016MB HIGH PRES CENTERED OVER WRN ALTANTIC NEAR FL PENINSULA WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E-W ACROSS NORTHERN GULF COAST. LOW CENTERED NORTH OF MINNESOTA WITH COLD FRONT STRETCHING SSW THROUGH WI...CNTRL IL AND INTO CNTRL MO AND CNTRL OK. TD ALEX CENTERED OVER WESTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH CNTRL PRES 1000MB. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1015MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1500 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/...103F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/...103F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/...105F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/...100F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 105F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... MISG GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/...106F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 19Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... E 10KT 250FT... E 10KT 500FT...ESE 12KT 1KFT.. ESE 14KT 2KFT... SE 13KT 3KFT... SE 15KT 4KFT... SE 13KT 5KFT...ESE 12KT MAX WIND...242/45KT 40.2KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1100FT...APPX MOIST LAPSE ABV. STORM MOTION 153/08KT. 27/00Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z MON 06/28/10 SFC... SE 15KT 250FT... SE 16KT 500FT...ESE 17KT 1KFT...ESE 17KT 2KFT...ESE 19KT 3KFT...ESE 16KT 4KFT... SE 16KT 5KFT... SE 14KT MAX WIND...269/67KT 67KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3200FT...MOIST LAPSE ABV. STM MOTION 140/10KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 271951Z AUTO 13010KT 10SM CLR 32/25 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP124 T03220250 TSNO METAR KGAO 272000Z AUTO 12009KT CLR 32/25 A2989 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SW AND NW PWINO SPECI KHSA 271951Z 13010G15KT 10SM SCT080 33/23 A2988 METAR KIPN 271950Z AUTO 09011KT 10SM FEW017 FEW023 FEW034 50/46 A2990 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 271955Z AUTO 14015KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A2985 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 271955Z AUTO VRB05KT 9SM 30/26 A2987 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 271955Z AUTO 13011KT 10SM CLR 29/25 A2989 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 271955Z AUTO 13009KT 10SM FEW022 SCT033 SCT042 32/26 A2988 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025-035. 18Z-01Z...ISOLD 3-5SM TSRA BKN025CB. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT020-030. 15Z-21Z...ISOLD/SCT 3-5SM TSRA BKN025CB. KHUM 271720Z 2718/2818 13008KT P6SM VCSH SCT035CB FM272100 13008KT P6SM SCT040CB FM280200 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM281400 09008KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB FM281700 10010KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB KHSA 271720Z 2718/2818 15006KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB FM272200 15006KT P6SM FEW040 FM280200 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM281400 12006KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB FM281700 13009KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT E/SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. MDT E/SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT E/SE WND. .RADAR... AT 1500 CDT...SCT SHRA/TSRA LOCATED ACROSS NRN GOMEX WITH A FWE STORMS MOVING OVER OR VERY CLOSE TO THE SPILL SITE. STORM MOTION REMAINS NW AROUND 12KT. OCCNL LGTNG OCCURRING WITH THIS ACTIVITY. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.72 FT AT 1448 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.50 FT AT 2100 CDT. WYCM6 2.74 FT AT 1448 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.44 FT AT 0000 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 89.8F AT 1500 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........53 53 53 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 85 85 RH..............75 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 96 96 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.4 3.4 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.16 14 14 TRANS SPD (M/S).7 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 SEAS............3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........53 74 74 74 63 63 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 84 84 85 86 85 RH..............77 80 80 77 75 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 94 94 96 97 96 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 10 SE 11 SE 11 SE 11 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3400 3200 3000 3000 2800 2800 MIX HGT (M).....1040 980 910 910 850 850 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14 SE 12 SE 15 SE 15 SE 17 SE 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 6 SE 5 SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............3 3 3 3 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........63 87 87 87 69 69 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 86 87 86 85 85 RH..............77 75 72 72 75 75 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 97 99 96 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 10 SE 11 SE 14 SE 14 E 14 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2800 3400 3400 3900 4200 MIX HGT (M).....850 850 1040 1040 1190 1280 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 16 SE 15 SE 18 SE 18 SE 23 E 29 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 SE 10 E 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............4 4 4 4 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH RO $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100627.DEEPW.11/LIX