FNUS74 KLIX 272203 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 503 PM CDT SUN JUN 27 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1700 CDT...1015MB HIGH PRES CENTERED OVER WRN ALTANTIC NEAR FL PENINSULA WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E-W ACROSS NORTHERN GULF COAST. LOW CENTERED NORTH OF MINNESOTA WITH COLD FRONT STRETCHING SSW THROUGH WI...CNTRL IL AND INTO CNTRL MO AND CNTRL OK. TD ALEX CENTERED NEAR THE WESTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH CNTRL PRES 999MB. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1012MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1700 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/...103F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/...103F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/...103F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 98F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 103F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... MISG GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/...101F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 21Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 12KT 250FT... SE 13KT 500FT... SE 13KT 1KFT.. SE 13KT 2KFT... SE 12KT 3KFT... SE 15KT 4KFT... SE 16KT 5KFT... SE 17KT MAX WIND...239/49KT 40.7KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1900FT...NEARLY ISOTHERMAL 1900FT TO 3300 FT...APPX MOIST LAPSE ABV. STORM MOTION 152/10KT. 27/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z MON 06/28/10 SFC... SE 15KT 250FT... SE 16KT 500FT...ESE 17KT 1KFT...ESE 17KT 2KFT...ESE 19KT 3KFT...ESE 16KT 4KFT... SE 16KT 5KFT... SE 14KT MAX WIND...269/67KT 67KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3200FT...MOIST LAPSE ABV. STM MOTION 140/10KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 272151Z AUTO 13007KT 10SM FEW075 32/25 A2987 RMK AO2 SLP116 T03220250 TSNO METAR KGAO 272140Z AUTO 09005KT CLR 32/25 A2988 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 272151Z 15006KT 10SM SCT035 33/23 A2987 METAR KIPN 272150Z AUTO 10009KT 10SM FEW035 53/49 A2987 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 272155Z AUTO 11012KT 10SM FEW075 BKN100 30/25 A2985 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 272155Z AUTO 13008G13KT 090V170 10SM 32/26 A2986 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 272155Z AUTO 14013KT 10SM CLR 30/24 A2988 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 272155Z AUTO 15007KT 10SM CLR 32/26 A2986 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030-040. 21Z-01Z...ISOLD 3-5SM TSRA BKN025CB. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025-030. 21Z-02Z...ISOLD/SCT 3-5SM TSRA BKN025CB. KHUM 271720Z 2718/2818 13008KT P6SM VCSH SCT035CB FM272100 13008KT P6SM SCT040CB FM280200 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM281400 09008KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB FM281700 10010KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB KHSA 271720Z 2718/2818 15006KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB FM272200 15006KT P6SM FEW040 FM280200 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM281400 12006KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB FM281700 13009KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT E/SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. MDT E/SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT E/SE WND. .RADAR... AT 1555 CDT...VERY ISOLD SHRA LOCATED ACROSS NRN GOMEX WITH A FEW SHRA NEAR THE SPILL SITE. STORM MOTION WAS N AROUND 12KT. CLOSEST LGTNG LOCATED ABOUT 140 NM NW OF SPILL SITE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.26 FT AT 1606 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.50 FT AT 2100 CDT. WYCM6 2.17 FT AT 1606 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.44 FT AT 0000 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 90F AT 1600 CDT. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........53 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 63 63 63 63 63 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 85 85 84 84 84 85 86 86 86 85 85 85 RH..............77 77 80 80 80 80 80 77 75 77 77 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 96 96 94 94 94 96 97 97 97 96 96 96 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 12 12 15 15 15 17 17 17 17 16 16 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 5 5 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........63 87 87 87 69 69 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 86 87 86 85 85 RH..............77 75 72 72 75 75 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 97 99 96 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 10 SE 11 SE 14 SE 14 E 14 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2800 3400 3400 3900 4200 MIX HGT (M).....850 850 1040 1040 1190 1280 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 16 SE 15 SE 18 SE 18 SE 23 E 29 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 SE 10 E 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............4 4 4 4 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH RO .MONDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........69 87 87 87 96 96 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 85 84 84 84 84 RH..............75 75 80 80 80 81 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 94 94 94 94 20 FT WIND......E 14 E 14 E 14 E 14 E 14 E 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....4200 3900 3700 3700 3400 3100 MIX HGT (M).....1280 1190 1130 1130 1040 940 TRANSPORT WIND..E 29 E 32 SE 29 SE 29 SE 24 SE 21 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 13 E 14 SE 13 SE 13 SE 11 SE 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. .THURSDAY... CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...SHIELDS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100627.DEEPW.13/LIX